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Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

A debate about whether generous unemployment cash is fueling a worker shortage is raging, with today's disappointing jobs report caught in the middle.

Why it matters: States blaming benefits for keeping would-be employees home are starting to implement policies to counteract the supposed effect.

What's happening: South Carolina and Montana said they will nix the federal unemployment benefits, citing worker shortages. Georgia and Wisconsin may follow, Politico reports.

  • Residents there will no longer get an extra $300 in benefits. Pandemic-era programs that offered unemployment to those typically ineligible (gig workers, for one) would also go away.
  • Maine, Florida and Arizona will require proof that unemployment applicants looked for work in order to get benefits — a requirement waived when the pandemic hit.
  • The U.S. Chamber of Commerce today threw its weight behind ending the extra $300 benefit.

The other side: "The move to cut off benefits is reflecting the assumption that 1) jobs are available but unfilled and 2) the only reason why a worker wouldn’t take one is because they have an unemployment benefit," says RAND economist Kathryn Edwards.

  • "Assuming No. 2 seems very problematic during a pandemic because the pandemic has created a lot of barriers to working," like the lack of child care and the safety concerns that are also keeping people at home.

Biden administration view: "If the unemployment bonus was slowing down hiring, one would expect lower job growth in states and sectors where unemployment insurance is particularly high. In fact, what one sees is the exact opposite," Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told reporters today.

Driving the news: The April jobs report put some data behind the worker shortage anecdotes — or none at all, depending on whom you ask.

The bottom line: States are weighing in on the debate that's dividing economists and businesses.

Go deeper

The post-pandemic economy has already arrived

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

With the recession officially ending in April 2020, we're now 16 months into the recovery and the contours of the post-pandemic economy have taken shape.

Why it matters: While the coronavirus continues to infect roughly 100,000 new Americans every day, it's no longer driving the course of the economy.

Linh Ta, author of Des Moines
Aug 6, 2021 - Axios Des Moines

Why you should expect longer lines at the Iowa State Fair this year

Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios

Iowa State Fair organizers say there are worker shortages abound this year ranging from parking attendants to bartenders to corn dog cooks.

Why it matters: You'll likely have to wait a little longer in lines, especially if attendance reaches 2019's record-breaking levels.

The front-runners for Biden's Supreme Court pick

Judge Kentaji Brown Jackson (left) and Justice Leondra Kruger (right) Tom Williams-Pool/Getty Images and Lonnie Tague, US Department of Justice

Two highly accomplished Black female judges — Ketanji Brown Jackson, a judge on the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals; and Leondra Kruger, a justice on the California Supreme Court — are seen as the early front-runners to replace retiring Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer.

The big picture: Jackson is a powerful federal judge with a record that progressives feel they can trust. Kruger was a highly regarded litigator and has carved out a reputation for working well with conservative judges.