Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

62% of registered voters say President Trump is hurting efforts to slow the spread of the coronavirus, compared to 31% who say he's helping, according to a Quinnipiac University poll out Wednesday.

The big picture: 36% of Americans approve of Trump's overall job performance, and 60% disapprove — his worst net approval rating since August 2017 and a 6-point drop from June. The poll has Joe Biden with a 15% advantage nationally over Trump, widening his lead from last month by 7 points.

Between the lines: On his handling of the economy, Trump's approval rating dropped to 36% in July as states force more businesses to close again due to the nationwide surge in coronavirus cases.

  • "Trump's strongest card, the economy, shredded by a killer virus, may have left the president with no go-to issue or trait to stave off defeat," said Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy.

By the numbers:

  • 61% disapprove of the way Trump has handled reopening schools.
  • 67% say they do not trust the information Trump is providing about the coronavirus.
  • 65% say they trust the information provided by Anthony Fauci, whom White House officials have sought to discredit in recent days.

Head-to-head with Biden:

  • On handling a crisis: Biden 57% - Trump 38%
  • On handling health care: Biden 58% - Trump 35%
  • On handling the coronavirus: Biden 59% - Trump 35%
  • On handling racial inequality: Biden 62% - Trump 30%

The bottom line: "Yes, there's still 16 weeks until Election Day, but this is a very unpleasant real-time look at what the future could be for President Trump," Malloy said. "There is no upside, no silver lining, no encouraging trend hidden somewhere in this survey for the president."

Methodology: This RDD telephone survey was conducted July 9–13 throughout the nation. Responses are reported for 1,273 self-identified registered voters with a margin of sampling error of ± 2.8 percentage points.

Go deeper

New interactive tool shows Biden's mail voting danger

Data: SurveyMonkey; Chart: Danielle Alberti/Axios

Voters who disapprove of President Trump most strongly are by far the most likely to vote by mail in the presidential election, according to an Axios analysis of exclusive data from SurveyMonkey and Tableau.

Why it matters: The new data shows just how strongly the mail-in vote is likely to favor Joe Biden — with potentially enormous implications in the swing states due to the greater risk of rejection with mail ballots.

The Biden blowout scenario

Joe Biden speaks at an outdoor Black Economic Summit in Charlotte yesterday. Photo: Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

Joe Biden or President Trump could win the election narrowly — but only one in a popular and electoral vote blowout. 

Why it matters: A Biden blowout would mean a Democratic Senate, a bigger Democratic House and a huge political and policy shift nationwide.

Schumer on peaceful transfer of power: "Trump is not a dictator"

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) on Wednesday responded to President Trump's refusal to commit to a peaceful transition of power should he lose the November election, telling CNN that Trump "is not a dictator, and the American people will not allow him to be one."

What he's saying: "The American people are wedded to democracy," Schumer said. "We believe in democracy, and the kind of thing Trump is talking about just will not happen."

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