Given the political turmoil in the United Kingdom, Germany and the United States, President Putin is likely to play possum well into the spring of 2018. Put simply, there is no book for Putin to provoke the Atlantic Alliance by a military "move of greatness" in the Euro-Atlantic region – say in the Arctic. Furthermore, he needs Trump's support for an end game to the Syrian civil war that will bring about the de facto victory of the Assad regime.

The bottom line: Above all, there is the "tell" that the Russian government is not mobilizing for war, as seen by the decision to cut back in military spending this year in response to lower global petroleum and gas prices — a key source of national income. A surge in military spending would be very ominous, recalling events in Hitler's Germany in 1939 and Japan in 1940 and 1941.

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Updated 21 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

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  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 10 a.m ET: 5,314,814 — Total deaths: 168,462 — Total recoveries: 1,796,326 — Total tests: 65,676,624Map.
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  4. States: New York to reopen gyms, bowling alleys, museums.
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  6. Politics: Biden signals fall strategy with new ads.

Kamala Harris and the political rise of America's Indian community

Vice presidential hopeful Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

When Democrats next week formally nominate the daughter of an Indian immigrant to be vice president, it'll be perhaps the biggest leap yet in the Indian American community's rapid ascent into a powerful political force.

Why it matters: Indian Americans are one of the fastest-growing, wealthiest and most educated demographic groups in the U.S. Politicians work harder every year to woo them. And in Kamala Harris, they'll be represented in a major-party presidential campaign for the first time.

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The cardiac threat coronavirus poses to athletes

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

Cardiologists are increasingly concerned that coronavirus infections could cause heart complications that lead to sudden cardiac death in athletes.

Why it matters: Even if just a tiny percentage of COVID-19 cases lead to major cardiac conditions, the sheer scope of the pandemic raises the risk for those who regularly conduct the toughest physical activity — including amateurs who might be less aware of the danger.