Sep 29, 2019

Polls show Biden dominating in South Carolina but neck and neck in Nevada

Photo: Ethan Miller/Getty Images

Former Vice President Joe Biden is dominating the Democratic field in South Carolina but is neck and neck with Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren in Nevada, according to 2 new CNN polls.

Why it matters: South Carolina and Nevada are key early states, with primaries scheduled for late February after Iowa and New Hampshire. Biden's strong standing in South Carolina is largely the result of support from black voters, 45% of whom back the former vice president. The Nevada poll shows a tighter race with the 2 progressive senators chasing at Biden's heels.

South Carolina
  • Biden: 37%
  • Warren: 16%
  • Sanders: 11%
  • Mayor Pete Buttigieg: 4%
  • Sen. Kamala Harris: 3%
  • Tom Steyer: 3%
  • Sen. Cory Booker: 2%
  • Former Rep. Beto O'Rourke: 2%
Nevada
  • Biden: 22%
  • Sanders: 22%
  • Warren: 18%
  • Harris: 5%
  • Buttigieg: 4%
  • Steyer: 4%
  • Andrew Yang: 3%
  • Booker: 2%

Go deeper: The 2020 impeachment campaign

Methodologies:

  • South Carolina: Interviews were conducted from Sept. 22 to Sept. 26 among a sample of 1,200 respondents who live in South Carolina. The margin of sampling error for total respondents is +/-3.4 at the 95% confidence level, and for results among the 406 respondents who are likely to vote in the Democratic primary, it is +/-5.9.
  • Nevada: Interviews were conducted from Sept. 22 to Sept. 26 among a sample of 1,203 respondents who live in Nevada. The margin of sampling error for total respondents is +/-3.6 at the 95% confidence level, and for results among the 324 respondents who are likely to participate in the Democratic caucus, it is +/-7.1.

Go deeper

Nevada privacy law takes effect

California's pending European-style digital privacy law will likely be the most impactful in the country, but it won't be the first. Nevada's law takes effect Tuesday.

Why it matters: With no superseding federal law, we're at the start of, potentially, 50 different privacy laws covering each of the 50 states — all interacting, potentially conflicting, and affecting business and consumer peace of mind for years to come.

Go deeperArrowOct 1, 2019

All the qualifiers for November's Democratic debate

Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

The November Democratic primary debates, hosted by MSNBC and the Washington Post, are scheduled to take place in Georgia on Nov. 20. Ten presidential candidates qualified to appear on stage, leaving former HUD Secretary Julián Castro as the notable exception.

How it works: Each candidate needed to hit 3% in at least four accepted polls to qualify, or 5% in two single-state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and/or Nevada. Candidate were also required to attract 165,000 unique donors and a minimum of 600 unique donors per state in at least 20 states.

Go deeperArrowUpdated Nov 6, 2019

Warren surges past Biden in poll of college students

Data: College Reaction; Note: ±4.0 margin of error; Chart: Axios Visuals

Elizabeth Warren has overtaken Joe Biden as the top 2020 choice among college students, according to a new College Reaction/Axios poll.

The big picture: Warren's move to the top among college students matches her recent trend in national polls, as well as state polls in New Hampshire, California and Iowa.

Go deeperArrowOct 1, 2019