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Members of the Minneapolis Police Department seen through a chain link gate. Photo: Stephen Maturen/Getty Images

Cities and states are unlikely to see many new "defund the police" proposals after Minneapolis voters on Tuesday rejected a ballot measure to overhaul the city's police department, one of the nation's largest police unions tells Axios.

What they're saying: "I believe, by and large, that ship has sailed," said Jim Pasco, executive director of the Fraternal Order of Police, a national police organization that represents 356,000 officers.

The big picture: The rejection of the massive change in the city where George Floyd was murdered by a police officer came as Republicans made gains and amid rising violent crime in major cities.

  • The election results may signal shifting sentiments about how dramatically to reform policing, a year and a half after street demonstrators demanded the end to systemic racism in policing, media and politics.

Driving the news: Returns Tuesday night showed the citywide ballot measure failed by a double-digit margin, 56% to 43%, as reform advocates around the country closely watched the outcomes.

  • Some advocates felt had voters approved of replacing the Minneapolis Police Department with a new agency it could spark a movement in other cities.
  • But the ballot measure's failure dealt a significant blow to supporters of more progressive police reforms just as proposed federal legislation stalled over partisan bickering.

What they're saying: "I'm not aware of anything as draconian as was proposed in Minneapolis," Pasco said.

  • He said while he expects other calls for dismantling police will be isolated cases, the FOP will continue to monitor police reform proposals in states and will support some if parties engage with officers.
  • "There's still plenty of room within the four walls of what is acceptable to all to make meaningful changes that will benefit all parties," he said.

The other side: Advocates for changing funding structures of law enforcement say they are undeterred and will continue to press for systemic changes.

  • "Dismantling and abolishing violent institutions and building and resourcing community safety strategies is and continues to be the goal," Black Visions, a Minnesota-based Black LGBTQ group, said in a statement after the ballot measure failed.
  • TakeAction Minnesota, which also supported the measure, said their fight was bigger than just one election.
  • Kandace Montgomery, a director at Black Visions, said advocates are working on proposals in Seattle, Portland and Austin, Texas and won't let the Minneapolis results stop them.

The intrigue: Rev. Markel Hutchins, CEO of MovementForward and Atlanta-based minister, told Axios he hopes the election results force progressives to rejoin bipartisan talks in the U.S. Senate over police reforms.

  • "The Republicans could take the (U.S.) House and then, we'll have no chance at passing any police legislation," he said.
  • Hutchins said the election of Eric Adams, a former Black police captain, as mayor in New York City, also showed Black and Latino residents are concerned about violent crime as they are about transforming policing.
  • "But they don't want that to be radical reform that's going to undermine the interests of public safety."

Go deeper

About 200 Capitol Police officers have left since Jan. 6

Inspector General of the U.S. Capitol Police Michael Bolton testifies on Dec. 7. Photo: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

About 200 officers have left the U.S. Capitol Police force since the deadly Jan. 6 riot, the department's inspector general Michael Bolton told a Senate panel Tuesday.

Flashback: A union chief said in April that the force was facing dwindling numbers and low morale, adding later that it would potentially take years to hire and train more officers to recoup its ranks.

New report hits DOJ over lack of police shooting data

Demonstrations followed the shooting of Dijon Kizzee by Los Angeles Sheriff's deputies in 2020. Photo: David McNew/Getty Images

A new government accountability report says the Department of Justice failed to consistently publish an annual summary of police excessive force data from 2016 to 2020, as required by federal law.

Why it matters: The data is crucial for the DOJ to monitor excessive force cases, and used to investigate law enforcement agencies with patterns of abuse. The DOJ can pivot off it to pursue court action to force reforms.

Scoop: Trump-backed Perdue says he wouldn’t have certified Georgia 2020 results

Perdue at a December 2020 campaign event in Columbus, Ga. Photo: Elijah Nouvelage/Getty Images

Georgia gubernatorial candidate David Perdue wouldn’t have signed the certification of the state’s 2020 election results if he had been governor at the time, the former Senate Republican told Axios.

  • “Not with the information that was available at the time and not with the information that has come out now. They had plenty of time to investigate this. And I wouldn’t have signed it until those things had been investigated and that’s all we were asking for," he said.

Why it matters: There has been no evidence widespread fraud took place in Georgia's elections last year and the November results were counted three times, once by hand.