Pete Buttigieg leaves a Las Vegas meet-and-greet on April 8, 2019. Photo: Ethan Miller/Getty Images

Two new polls issued this week — an Iowa poll from Monmouth University and a New Hampshire poll from St. Anselm College — found that Mayor Pete Buttigieg is polling 3rd in favorability behind 2 other 2020 candidates: former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders.

Why it matters: Iowa and New Hampshire will be the first two states to hold Democratic primaries, giving early insight into how the country will respond to candidates.

Details:

  • St. Anselm College found that Buttigieg has shown more growth than any other 2020 candidate since its February poll. He’s 3rd on the ballot test among New Hampshire voters at 11% and his name recognition has grown to 33%.
  • Monmouth University found that Buttigieg "has one of the best positive to negative ratios in the field." His favorability rating falls at 9% after Biden's rate of 27% and Sanders, who stands at 16%.

The big picture: It’s only April, a full year before the election and nothing is set in stone. But even still, it's a surprise that a small town mayor is polling 3rd in 2 key states behind candidates with more star power and name recognition.

Go deeper: Everything else you need to know about Pete Buttigieg

Go deeper

The Biden blowout scenario

Joe Biden speaks at an outdoor Black Economic Summit in Charlotte yesterday. Photo: Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

Joe Biden or President Trump could win the election narrowly — but only one in a popular and electoral vote blowout. 

Why it matters: A Biden blowout would mean a Democratic Senate, a bigger Democratic House and a huge political and policy shift nationwide.

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Justice's moves ring Big Tech with regulatory threats

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

The Department of Justice proposed legislation to curb liability protections for tech platforms and moved a step closer toward an antitrust lawsuit against Google Wednesday.

The big picture: As President Trump faces re-election, lawmakers and regulators are hurriedly wrapping up investigations and circling Big Tech with regulatory threats.

Democrats' mail voting pivot

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Democrats spent the early months of the coronavirus pandemic urging their base to vote absentee. But as threats of U.S. Postal Service delays, Team Trump litigation and higher ballot rejection rates become clearer, many are pivoting to promote more in-person voting as well.

Why it matters: Democrats are exponentially more likely to vote by mail than Republicans this year — and if enough mail-in ballots are lost, rejected on a technicality or undercounted, it could change the outcome of the presidential election or other key races.

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