Axios Markets

August 27, 2026
Welcome back. It's the last Thursday of August. Is that something?
- Nvidia's bullish earnings have kicked off a rally in chip stocks this morning, lifting Nasdaq futures up about 1%.
- Before the market opens, we'll get some insight into the state of the American consumer, with Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Best Buy all reporting earnings.
🗓️ Today, we're looking at Nvidia's numbers. Guys, they're real big. And, Axios' Ben Geman drops by with some news on another part of the build-out — it's a gas.
Let's just get into it. In 983 words, a 3.5-minute read.
1 big thing: What we learned from Nvidia


AI behemoth Nvidia reported blowout earnings yesterday — exceeding Wall Street's expectations — and even jaded investors who had grown a bit immune to the company's stratospheric growth over the past year seemed to like it.
Why it matters: The chipmaker's earnings are viewed as a barometer of the overall health of the AI trade.
- Every three months when it reports its financials, Wall Street combs through the numbers for signs the whole shebang is slowing down.
By the numbers: The numbers are bonkers. Nvidia's revenue was $96.2 billion in the second quarter — up more than double from the same period a year ago.
The latest: After chief financial officer Colette Kress told investors that the company expects revenue will jump another 70% next fiscal year — the expectation was 45% — the stock is up 7.36% in pre-market trading this morning.
- It didn't hurt that Kress also announced that Amazon would be buying an additional 2 million chips.
Zoom in: Here are a few other takeaways that stood out:
Supply chain problems. Nvidia is just like everyone else, squeezed by the surging demand for memory chips.
- The company said that price increases in the space are exceeding its expectations and shrinking its margins slightly for the year to come.
- This is a good problem to have, Kress said. Memory scarcity is being driven by the AI buildout — it's good for business.
- "Unlike a component that simply raises our cost with no offset benefit, tighter memory supply is a symptom of the same demand surge that's driving our own growth."
Buyback flex. If you want to understand how the mammoth chipmaker stands apart from the other companies in this space — the hyperscalers, frontier models and so forth — look no further than stock buybacks.
- Big Tech companies for years have led stock buybacks — but in the AI buildout, that has largely stopped or slowed.
- Alphabet repurchased zero shares in its most recent quarter.
- Nvidia is buying back $19 billion — more than last year.
The breadth of the boom. It's more than just the tech giants. "Most people see just hyperscalers," chief executive Jensen Huang told investors. "That's half the picture."
- The CEO said the other half driving AI demand is "sovereign AI," or when countries build their own AI infrastructure, as well as the enterprise market, or all the other firms using AI.
- "Everybody wants to be part of the AI revolution," Huang said. "Everybody has to build infrastructure."
Yes, but: There's little doubt that Nvidia has a huge business on its hands. But there are worries that it sits at the heart of an ecosystem that has yet to prove its value.
- The company is frequently accused of "circular financing," or lending money, or backing funding, for customers who then push that money back to buy Nvidia tech. Executives were on the defensive about that yesterday.
- Huang also took care to defend the company's $50 billion investment in the frontier AI labs. "Investing in these companies is a once-in-a-generation opportunity," he said, noting that two of these companies "will likely go public soon," probably referring to OpenAI and Anthropic.
The bottom line: Nvidia is making real money, and investors seem to grudgingly have to hand it to them.
What to watch: The stock today. Nvidia's stock price has fallen the day after five of its last six earnings reports, as Bloomberg points out.
2. A stunning U.S. gas build-out is coming — maybe


A new report underscores two truths about U.S. plans for gas-fired power plants: The numbers are stunning, yet stunningly speculative.
Why it matters: The AI boom is driving proposals for massive projects to supply data centers and other needs.
- The ballooning pipeline is bringing fresh fears about carbon emissions and localized air pollution.
- It's also a big challenge for regulators and planners.
"It is nearly impossible nowadays to guess what is a pie in the sky proposal, and what has a real chance of getting built," said report author Jenny Martos of Global Energy Monitor.
Stunning stat: The amount of U.S. capacity somewhere in the development pipeline doubled in the first half of 2026, per Global Energy Monitor's analysis.
- A whopping 189 gigawatts is planned for on-site data centers through the first half of 2026, roughly doubling (!) the pipeline at year-end 2025.
Driving the news: Overall, the U.S. pipeline has soared to 378 gigawatts, per the nonprofit that closely tracks projects internationally.
- More concretely, projects under construction climbed 76% in the first half of 2026 to 52 GW, around twice what China is currently building.
- A gigawatt can power roughly 750,000 U.S. homes.
Reality check: If all the 378 GW on the drawing board become reality, the U.S. fleet would grow by two-thirds.
- But the report tracks everything from construction to projects in much earlier stages that may or may not ultimately happen.
- "Pre-construction" and "announced" projects together account for about 86% of the U.S. pipeline.
The intrigue: Historically, around 30% of proposed U.S. gas-fired projects reach commercial operation, per Michael Thomas, founder of the market intelligence platform Cleanview.
What to watch: The evolving backlash against data centers complicates things even further.
Thanks for reading! Get in touch at [email protected] and [email protected] or just reply to this one.
Thanks to Jeffrey Cane for editing and Carlin Becker for copy editing this edition.
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