Expect a few plot twists, but Senate GOP leaders are confident they can pass a budget resolution to fund ICE and the Border Patrol by the end of next week.

Why it matters: As the House struggles to resolve its internal divisions on FISA, the Senate is moving ahead on a separate track — advancing a budget resolution to fund immigration enforcement, with a "vote-a-rama" as early as Wednesday.

• Once the Senate passes a budget resolution, the DHS funding fight will shift back to the House.
• Speaker Mike Johnson could try to pass the non-immigration portions of DHS funding, which cleared the Senate two weeks ago.
• Or he could wait for the Senate to pass a broader reconciliation package, expected to include from $65 billion to $75 billion for three and a half years of funding for ICE and Border Patrol.

Zoom in: Republicans still need to work out the size and scope of the package — and whether it needs to be paid for.

• "We need to do a much broader reconciliation," Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) said in a video posted to X, repeating an argument he made behind closed doors this week.
• "Let's not think small. Let's think big."
• "There needs to be a price. What was the price for Elizabeth Warren and the radical Democrats for shutting down the government? Congratulations, guys: You just increased ICE by 10%," Cruz added.

Zoom out: If the House falters on extending FISA beyond the current 10-day reprieve, Senate Majority Leader John Thune is prepared to act with a three-year extension.

• "We've just got to have optionality here," Thune said today.
• And on the budget resolution he is committed to a "skinny" approach — and he has the president's backing.

The bottom line: Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) told reporters he "would love to see how we can pay for this," but he ultimately expects a resolution to pass.

• "I think all amendments are always hard," he said. "But you have a right to do it, and you've got a right to try to be convincing. We'll see how good I am."

— Hans Nichols

Johnson hit a wall he couldn't scale last night when a broad coalition of House Republicans blocked him on a FISA extension.

Why it matters: The Senate bailed Johnson out by voice-voting an emergency short-term extension. But Johnson has more than two dozen Republicans to flip.

• Opposition came from both conservatives — who want stricter warrant requirements on the surveillance authority — and Republicans who favored a clean extension.

The big picture: Johnson has repeatedly held votes open and endured plenty of drama — sometimes calling in help from President Trump — to pass tough votes despite vocal conservative opposition.

• Last night's last-minute negotiations and late-night vote doomed the deal, Rep. Ralph Norman (R-S.C.), who voted against the rule, told us.

The bottom line: Giving too much ground on warrants risks losing intelligence hawks. Giving too little could lose privacy-minded conservatives.

— Kate Santaliz