Vice President JD Vance's pitch to House Republicans this afternoon did little to ease concerns over Speaker Mike Johnson's $95 billion reconciliation package, leaving GOP leaders with work to do ahead of a planned floor vote next week.

Why it matters: Johnson's conference members remain uneasy about the lack of spending offsets, and disagreements persist over the details of their signature election bill.

• Republicans hold a razor-thin majority, so a handful of defections could sink the measure.

☠️ "It's DOA," Rep. Warren Davidson (R-Ohio) told us.

• 🥪 "Five-dollar footlongs are $12. People know that a lot of this is the debt. The deficits cause big debt, and overall, this debases the money. This is part of what's driving the affordability crisis."
• "A no-offset plan is dead-on-arrival, because, frankly, three of us would kill it," Davidson added.

🚗 Driving the news: Vance spent roughly an hour with House Republicans pitching the legislation and taking questions, according to multiple members in the room.

• Asked afterward why the package lacks offsets, Vance told reporters: "Ultimately, we decided this legislation, for a whole host of procedural reasons, was not the place in order to codify some of the things that we're doing in the anti-fraud task force."
• 🖼️ Johnson has been framing the lack of pay-fors as necessary to maximize the package's chances of success in the Senate.
• "I don't know if I buy all of that," Rep. Tim Burchett (R-Tenn.) said when asked about Johnson's argument.

House Budget Chair Jodey Arrington (R-Texas) told Axios that "yes," he's confident the measure will get through his committee, where it's up for a vote tomorrow.

• But Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas), who sits on the panel, told us he's "undecided."
• "I think the stupidest thing to do would be to try to jam it through committee when we've got bigger problems on the House floor," Roy told reporters. "And I think that might be the current state of affairs."
• Another Budget Committee member, Rep. Erin Houchin (R-Ind.), who has privately complained about being left out of last weekend's Camp David negotiations, also remains wary of the package.

💰 The lack of offsets isn't the only headache for Johnson. His proposed SAVE America Act provisions aren't going far enough for some conservatives, either.

• For them, a proposed grant program to incentivize states to pass voter ID laws is insufficient.
• "That's just free money for Florida," Rep. Randy Fine (R-Fla.) said of the grant program. Blue states "will never take the grant money. I'm not a big fan of carrots. I like sticks."

Yes, but: Senate Republicans have warned that including the full SAVE Act would likely fail to meet the parliamentary standard for reconciliation bills in the Senate known as the "Byrd bath."

• That isn't swaying some House conservatives. "I don't worship at the altar of Senate procedure," Fine said.

Senate Republican leaders remain broadly skeptical of a third supplemental spending package, and rank-and-file senators are already signaling they want changes to the House bill.

• Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.), who will replace the late Sen. Lindsey Graham as chair of the Budget Committee, is warning that the Senate may insist on offsetting at least some of the spending.
• "I've got other members on the committee that also insist on offsets," he told Politico.
• "Offsets would be a desired goal," Sen. Jerry Moran (R-Kan.) said.

Others are pushing for a more ambitious package.

• "I think it should be bigger," Sen. Roger Wicker (R-Miss.) said.

Still, some Republicans say they want to give the House room to finish its work before drawing battle lines.

• "We're going to try and get her done," Sen. John Hoeven (R-N.D.) told us. "We thought they would have offsets in there. We're a little surprised they weren't."

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— Kate Santaliz and Hans Nichols

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries found himself in a rare position today: Voting with a minority of his own members against a measure to cut U.S. aid to Israel.

Why it matters: The vote, in which 103 House Democrats supported the measure and 98 opposed it, signals just how much the party has evolved on Israel this year amid growing political pressure from the left.

🥊 What they're saying: Some liberal groups were quick to hit Democratic leadership for largely opposing the amendment.

• "Today's vote put Democratic leadership at odds with their own caucus, their own voters, and the growing consensus that Congress cannot continue writing blank checks for [Israeli leader Benjamin] Netanyahu's government," said Indivisible spokesperson Leila Miller.
• Unlike Jeffries, Minority Whip Katherine Clark (D-Mass.) — along with 102 other Democrats — voted for it. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) was the lone GOP "yes" vote.

Between the lines: Many Democrats felt political pressure to vote for the measure despite misgivings about its substance.

• 🗳️ Lawmakers noted that several incumbents have already been ousted this year by left-wing primary challengers who said they were insufficiently critical of Israel.

Rep. Pat Ryan (D-N.Y.), a battleground-district moderate, said in a post on X that he expects "groups like AIPAC will not support me in my future elections and frankly, I don't want their support."

• Pressed on whether he would fully cut ties with AIPAC, Ryan wrote, "Yes, don't want their endorsement and returning the funds."
• It's a new low for the pro-Israel group, which has reached virtual pariah status with the Democratic primary electorate this year.

😡 Ahead of the vote, passions were running high among House Democrats over Netanyahu's conduct in Gaza — and the way he has explained his government's actions.

• "I think he has lied to our faces," Rep. Madeleine Dean (D-Pa.) said today at an Axios News Shapers event.
• Dean also said it was a "shame" that Netanyahu had "convinced the president to go to this reckless war of choice in Iran."

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— Andrew Solender and Hans Nichols