Axios AM

May 19, 2026
😎 Happy Tuesday! Smart Brevity™ count: 1,744 words ... 6½ mins. Thanks to Noah Bressner for orchestrating. Edited by Andrew Pantazi and Bill Kole.
🗳️ It's Primary Day in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania. What to watch.
🚨 Breaking: The World Health Organization chief said today he is "deeply concerned about the scale and speed" of the Ebola outbreak in Africa as the death toll in the Democratic Republic of Congo surged past 130. Get the latest.
1 big thing: Trumpworld's presidential gold rush
Democrats erupted yesterday over President Trump's $1.8 billion "anti-weaponization" fund for MAGA allies who claim political persecution, vowing to investigate what they called textbook corruption, Axios' Zachary Basu writes.
- Why it matters: With each passing month, Trump is weaving the financial interests of his family, his allies and his political movement more tightly than ever into the fabric of the American presidency.
The weaponization fund grew out of an extraordinary legal conflict: Trump sued the IRS for $10 billion in January while simultaneously controlling the agencies and lawyers on the other side of the case.
- The taxpayer-backed fund will be overseen by a five-member commission appointed by acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, Trump's former personal attorney.
- Bypassing Congress, the fund could pay Jan. 6 defendants, conservative activists, former Trump aides and other allies who have faced investigation.
🔎 Zoom in: The Justice Department's announcement came as Trump's latest financial disclosure revealed more than 3,700 individual stock trades last quarter.
- The trades — involving some companies heavily exposed to federal policy decisions — represented a staggering escalation from the previous quarter, when Trump disclosed just 380 transactions.
- Popular Information's Judd Legum reported that Trump publicly praised or promoted several companies, including Apple, Dell and Thermo Fisher, around the same time he was buying their stock.
- The Trump Organization says outside advisers control the president's investments.
The big picture: Trump's first term generated recurring conflict-of-interest scandals around hotels, golf clubs and foreign patronage. His second has produced a far more sprawling ecosystem for enrichment.
- At the center of it is crypto: Trump-linked meme coins have minted billions for the family and its inner circle, with top holders unlocking dinners at Mar-a-Lago and private events with the president.
- World Liberty Financial has rapidly become one of the Trump family's most lucrative and controversial ventures, placing the president's political brand and influence at the center of a fast-growing crypto empire.
🔭 Zoom out: Since Trump took office, his sons have invested in a range of new industries, including AI, drones and critical minerals. Their overseas real estate portfolio has also expanded dramatically.
2. 🤖 New data: Republicans like AI more than Dems

Democrats have become more skeptical of AI and the industry behind it, while Republicans are significantly more likely to trust most AI companies, according to our annual Axios Harris Poll 100 brand reputation rankings.
- Why it matters: This represents a significant shift in just two years, since the White House changed hands and AI advancements accelerated, Axios' Margaret Talev writes.
Sam Altman's OpenAI is the tip of the spear. its reputational score was just 1 point higher among Republicans than Democrats in 2024. That gap has widened to 12 points today.
- TikTok, Nvidia, Meta, X and other AI or AI-driven companies also show a widening partisan gap.


🔬 Zoom in: AI companies aren't viewed equally — and those with narrower partisan gaps generally received higher reputational scores.
- Anthropic ranks No. 15 in the overall reputation ranking of the most visible brands in America, with a 1-point partisan gap. OpenAI ranks No. 68.
By the numbers: 44% of Republicans say their opinion of AI has become more positive in the past year, compared with just 35% of Democrats.
- 40% of Democrats expect AI to greatly or somewhat harm their career opportunities and wages in the years ahead, versus 32% of Republicans.
3. ⚖️ Musk v. Altman's biggest loser
The biggest tech trial of the AI era — which ended anticlimactically on procedural grounds yesterday — revealed a sector consumed by the same power struggles and profit motives its leaders once warned would corrupt artificial intelligence, Axios' Madison Mills writes.
- Why it matters: The trial cemented a growing public fear about AI: that the people racing to control the world's most powerful technology are driven less by humanity-saving ideals than by money, power and personal rivalries.
The big picture: OpenAI's founders originally cast themselves as an alternative to Google DeepMind, fearing one tech giant would monopolize transformative AI systems.
- But testimony and internal documents showed those leaders quickly became consumed by power struggles.
- OpenAI executives worried in 2017 that Elon Musk "could become a dictator" and sent him an email with the subject line "honest thoughts." Musk replied that he'd "had enough" and later suggested the company be folded into Tesla.

⚡ What happened: Jurors unanimously ruled Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI, Altman, co-founder Greg Brockman and Microsoft was barred by the statute of limitations.
- Musk's side argued OpenAI abandoned its founding nonprofit mission by accepting billions from Microsoft and creating a for-profit arm.
The trial ended with "a predictable whimper" over procedure, Ray Seilie, a tech and corporate trial attorney, told Axios.
- Musk vowed to appeal, writing on X that the verdict creates "a precedent to loot charities."
4. 🏠 The great exurban surge


The demographic landscape of the U.S. is undergoing a dramatic outward shift as growth moves from cities to exurbs, Axios' Russell Contreras writes from new census estimates.
- The data released last week and analyzed by Axios show the fastest-growing places since 2020 sit on the extreme outer edges of major metropolitan areas.
- This will affect congressional apportionment, federal funding formulas, school districts and political power for years to come.
🧮 By the numbers: Five of the 10 fastest-growing cities since 2020 are in Texas.
- Celina, Texas — an exurb north of Dallas — expanded 24.6% in a single year, the fastest growth among cities over 20,000 from July 2024 to July 2025.
5. 📈 Dems open massive House lead


Democrats have opened one of their biggest congressional polling leads since George W. Bush was president two decades ago:
- The latest N.Y. Times/Siena poll has Democrats up 50%-39% on the generic congressional ballot.
Why it matters: The GOP launched mid-cycle redistricting to save the House from a blue wave. Republicans fear the result if more polls land in this territory.
🗳️ Zoom in: Three very bad numbers for Republicans from the poll ...
- President Trump's overall approval sits at 37% — "his lowest approval rating in any Times/Siena survey in either term," the N.Y. Times' Nate Cohn notes.
- Just 19% of voters aged 18 to 29 approve of his job performance — a troubling sign for Republicans after Gen Z swung right in 2024.
- Only 20% of Hispanics approve. That's a stunning collapse from a group Trump made historic gains with last election.
Go deeper: A crack in the polling floor puts Trump in new territory (NYT gift link).
6. 🥊 Trump's revenge tour arrives in Kentucky

Today's Kentucky primary is President Trump's biggest test yet of whether his iron grip on the Republican base can hold even as war and inflation batter his national standing, Axios' Kate Santaliz writes.
- Why it matters: Trump is trying to take out longtime antagonist Thomas Massie in the most expensive House primary in history — a test of whether Massie's iconoclastic libertarian politics still has a place in the GOP.
Trump's political operation launched an aggressive effort to unseat Massie last year.
- The fight between Massie and Trump-backed rival Ed Gallrein has drawn more than $32 million in ad spending, according to AdImpact.
7. 📚 Out today: The Bonfire of the VCs
Theo Baker, a Stanford history major who'll graduate 26 days from now, is out today with a vivid, dishy exposé of the sometimes comical, at times seemingly corrupt, efforts by tech funders to seduce undergraduates who smell like future moguls and geniuses, and vice versa.
- "I've had more one-on-ones with billionaires than I've been on formal dates," Baker writes in "How to Rule the World," which takes its title from an unofficial, exclusive seminar at Stanford run by a Silicon Valley CEO. "I've encountered genius and misdeed at every stage, from wide-eyed freshman wannabes to accomplished masters of the universe."
💰 His signature revelation about the "Stanford inside Stanford": Bay Area venture capitalists and tech giants try to sniff out unicorn talent among the freshmen, then get them to drop out or take money, betting on future genius. Upperclassmen aren't as hotly pursued: If you're good, the thinking goes, you'd already have been discovered.
- "Stanford is an incubator with dorms," a serial entrepreneur told him.
🖊 The backstory: Baker, 21, has elite journalism in his veins: His dad, Peter Baker, is a New York Times star. His mom, Susan Glasser, is a columnist for The New Yorker. But Theo took it and ran with it: His investigative reporting for The Stanford Daily triggered the resignation in 2023 of the university president over flawed research data.
- Theo tells me his honors thesis was about "Americanism" and the forgotten origin story of the House Un-American Activities Committee in the 1930s. "Broadly speaking, I studied demagogues and illiberalism," he texted.
🎓 Among Baker's findings inside the "Stanford success machine": "As Stanford was becoming more powerful, it was becoming increasingly corporate, less like a vibrant hub for teenage exploration and more like a business — a thriving one at that."
- "Once you're in with the right crowd, all sorts of invitations start showing up. 'Any VC is begging to shove money down our throat,' [said a friend] who took VC money for a startup."
- "[P]eople I got to know in the tech world would admit ... to tax evasion and tax fraud, research misconduct, embezzlement and misappropriation of funds, securities fraud, insider trading, academic dishonesty, operating slush funds and shell companies, hacking, reckless endangerment, and abetting foreign dictators."
More on the book ... Excerpt in The Atlantic (gift link) ... Theo on AI in Sunday's NYT (gift link) … NYT rave review.
8. 🚁 1 for the road: Trump's next renovation

President Trump is planning to build a permanent helipad on the White House South Lawn to keep the powerful new Marine One helicopters from scorching the grass, The Wall Street Journal reports.
- The new VH-92A Patriot is much more powerful than the VH-3D Sea King it replaces. The old fleet has flown every president since Gerald Ford.
- Officials have known since 2018 that the new helicopter could damage the lawn.
- Presidents Biden and Trump have both flown on the new helicopters on trips outside of D.C., but never to and from the White House.
Trump is also expected to install a helipad at Mar-a-Lago while it's closed for the summer.
- Keep reading (gift link).
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