Axios AM

July 31, 2025
π Happy Thursday! Smart Brevityβ’ count: 1,882 words ... 7 mins. Thanks to Noah Bressner for orchestrating. Copy edited by Bryan McBournie.
1 big thing: MAGA's Israel rupture
The reliably pro-Israel Republican Party is scrambling to contain a generational revolt over foreign aid, antisemitism and the true meaning of "America First," Axios' Tal Axelrod and Zachary Basu write.
- Why it matters: Amid scenes of starvation in Gaza, the MAGA movement has become an unlikely epicenter of the national reckoning over America's relationship with Israel.
A GOP realignment β in tandem with Democrats' overwhelming disapproval of the war in Gaza β could threaten the foundation and future of America's decades-old alliance with Israel.
- Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), a prominent voice for MAGA's grassroots base, became the first Republican member of Congress this week to call Israel's war in Gaza a "genocide."
- President Trump broke with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu by acknowledging this week that there is "real starvation" in Gaza, even as he urged Israel to "finish the job" by eliminating Hamas.
- Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.), a critic and target of the pro-Israel lobby AIPAC, tweeted yesterday that "Israel's war in Gaza is so lopsided that there's no rational argument American taxpayers should be paying for it."
πΌοΈ The big picture: A growing number of Gen Z conservatives β removed from the historical context that shaped older Republican views β see Israel as just another ally taking advantage of America's generosity.
- "What we are seeing on Israel is a generational split around the age of 40," MAGA podcaster Jack Posobiec told Axios earlier this month. "Over 40 support, under 40 range from skeptical to wanting to cut all ties."
- The harrowing images from Gaza β along with Israel's bombing of a Catholic church this month, and attacks by Israeli settlers on Christian communities in the West Bank β have only deepened MAGA resentment.
- "Israel, whether it realizes it or not, has made itself the villain of the world in letting this thing go on so long. They have lost support among their dearest friends," conservative radio host Megyn Kelly warned this week.
The intrigue: Keenly aware of Israel's reputational crisis, Netanyahu sat for an interview last week with the Nelk Boys β a team of pro-Trump YouTubers popular with young men.
- The backlash was swift and extraordinary: the Nelk Boys' own audience turned on them, accusing the hosts of platforming a war criminal and failing to ask meaningful questions.
- The group apologized by hosting a parade of openly antisemitic influencers to present "the other side," including white nationalist Nick Fuentes and "red pill" podcaster Myron Gaines.
π Between the lines: MAGA's antisemitism problem is real. But many young Trump supporters are engaged in a genuine foreign policy debate over whether sending billions of dollars to Israel aligns with the principles of "America First."
2. πΆ What ICE raids leave behind
Federal immigration raids across the U.S. are leaving many immigrants no choice but to abandon their vehicles, work tools and even cherished family dogs and cats, Axios' Russell Contreras writes.
- Why it matters: The forsaken pets and property can pose safety problems for cities and towns, along with ramping up the stress for family members who also fear being detained.
Unlike local law enforcement agencies, ICE agents don't appear to be impounding property after arrests, leaving work trucks, food carts and lawnmowers for the taking.
- With few systems in place to confiscate property or pets after immigration arrests, new networks of volunteers have erupted and cities are scrambling to come up with solutions.
π¨ The big picture: The phenomenon of abandoned pets and property appears to be most common in Southern California.
- A resident of Ontario, Calif., told KTLA-TV that agents took away two gardeners mowing his lawn last month. "They left the lawnmower going right here on the front lawn."
Zoom in: An immigrant family was seen in a video on the network earlier this month giving an emotional farewell to a dog after receiving orders to leave the country.
- In California, the San Diego Humane Society tells Axios they had to take in two dogs in June from an ICE detention case.
- In Florida, the Palm Beach County Animal Care and Control told the Miami New Times that it's aware of at least 19 pets surrendered to the shelter or its rescue partners this year "as a specific result of immigration detention."
3. ποΈ WashPost talent exodus

Sally Jenkins, the renowned sports columnist at The Washington Post for 25 years, is joining The Atlantic as a staff writer. Her longtime editor β Dan Steinberg, who created The Post's popular D.C. Sports Bog in 2006 β is jumping to The Athletic as an NFL managing editor. WashPost Supreme Court correspondent Ann Marimow is joining The Times' expanding Supreme Court team.
- Also heading to The Times: Post media critic Erik Wemple and obit editor Adam Bernstein. Political correspondent Dan Balz is ending his 47-year run at The Post. Also leaving: Krissah Thompson, editor of WP Ventures (once the "Third Newsroom"); Lori Montgomery, politics and government editor; and "Fact Checker" Glenn Kessler, whose last day is today after more than 27 years at The Post.
Those and dozens of other Post journalists are taking buyouts and calling it quits, fueling speculation about how the storied paper can survive while bleeding so much talent, Axios Media Trends author Sara Fischer writes.
- Why it matters: The buyouts are designed to make it easier for staffers questioning the strategy of the Post's leadership to exit.
Earlier this month, CEO Will Lewis encouraged staffers "who do not feel aligned with the company's plan" to reflect on the buyout offer.
- The steep cuts come amid sweeping changes implemented by the Post's new management team and owner Jeff Bezos.
π Zoom in: The buyouts are hitting some of the Post's most recognizable teams the hardest. Politico has compiled a list of at least 100 journalists who have left the paper since November.
- Opinion: Longtime editorial journalists such as Pulitzer winner Jonathan Capehart, Philip Bump and Catherine Rampell have taken the buyout, in addition to a slew of other names.
- Video: The newsroom's video team β which has won several awards and created a reputation for getting ahead on platforms like TikTok and Instagram β has seen a bunch of recent exits,Β including Dave Jorgenson, the company's viral TikTok content creator.
4. π¦Ύ Most and least AI-proof jobs
Microsoft released a study assessing jobs' vulnerability to being replaced by AI based on whether AI is currently being used for that work, how successfully it does so and how much of that occupation's work is accounted for by AI.
Most vulnerable:
- Interpreters and translators (Score: 0.49, Number employed: 51,560)
- Historians (0.48, 3,040)
- Passenger attendants (0.46, 20,190)
- Sales representatives of services (0.46, 1,142,020)
- Writers and authors (0.45, 49,450)
- Customer service representatives (0.44, 2,858,710)
- CNC (computer numerical control) tool programmers: (0.44, 28,030)
- Telephone operators (0.42, 4,600)
- Ticket agents and travel clerks (0.41, 119,270)
- Broadcast announcers and radio DJs (0.41, 25,070)
Least vulnerable:
- Dredge operators (0.00, 940)
- Bridge and lock tenders (0.00, 3,460)
- Water treatment plant and system operators (0.00, 120,710)
- Foundry mold and coremakers (0.00, 11,780)
- Rail-track laying and maintenance equipment operators (0.00, 18,770)
- Pile driver operators (0.00, 3,010)
- Floor sanders and finishers (0.00, 5,070)
- Orderlies (0.00, 48,710)
- Motorboat operators (0.00, 2,710)
- Logging equipment operators (0.01, 23,720)
5. β Trade deal deadline day
β° Mike is told that President Trump's announcement last night of a trade deal with South Korea is the last major tariff deal the White House expects before tomorrow, Aug. 1 β the deadline day for deals.
- As a bookend to Trump's "Liberation Day" on April 2, when the wheeling and dealing started, you can call tomorrow "Letter Day," when the administration will send a bunch of letters to countries to set tariff rates.
The South Korea deal mirrors pacts with Japan and the EU, Axios' Ben Berkowitz writes.
- Why it matters: The deal brings clarity to the U.S. relationship with a major trading partner. It will be a relief to automakers and other heavily exposed industries.
Trump said in a Truth Social post that South Korean imports would face a 15% tariff, while U.S. exports to the country would not be tariffed.
- South Korea will buy $100 billion in U.S. energy products, and the deal includes a $350 billion investment fund.
- Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said yesterday the Trump administration had also struck trade deals with Cambodia and Thailand.
π₯ Reality check: Like the Japan deal, there are major unanswered questions about exactly how a giant investment mechanism will work, and who will benefit.
6. π OpenAI and Microsoft's divorce wishlist
OpenAI and Microsoft are scrambling to rework the terms of their massive partnership that radically transformed both companies, Axios' Ina Fried writes.
- Why it matters: The rising tensions are a reflection of how much the world has changed in the six years since the two companies placed their fate in each other's hands, sources tell Axios.
π¬ Zoom in: Despite recent efforts to diversify, each company still relies heavily on the other.
- Microsoft and OpenAI are renegotiating partly because Microsoft must sign off on OpenAI's plan to revamp its business into a fully for-profit entity.
What Microsoft wants: Continued access to OpenAI's technology.
- Microsoft currently has rights to all of OpenAI's models and technology. But that gets significantly curtailed once OpenAI reaches so-called artificial general intelligence.
What OpenAI wants: Changes to the business structure and choice when it comes to cloud providers.
- First and foremost, OpenAI needs to convert Microsoft's stake in the business into a more typical ownership percentage to move forward with the restructuring.
- OpenAI initially had to acquire all its computing horsepower to train and operate ChatGPT and OpenAI's other services from Microsoft. OpenAI has since brokered some flexibility, but it's looking to build compute capacity at a scale that could dwarf Microsoft's other computing needs.
7. π° Sports leagues face new reckoning
The major sports leagues are confronting a potentially costly reality in sports gambling: If you embrace it, problems will come, Axios' Nathan Bomey writes.
- Why it matters: Recent investigations into baseball, football and basketball players have raised fears about the integrity of sports β and whether certain plays, or even whole games, are being manipulated.
Threat level: Easy mobile access to legal betting is leading to growing suspicions of players conspiring with gamblers.
- Cleveland Guardians closer Emmanuel Clase βΒ one of baseball's best relief pitchers β was placed on paid leave this week as part of a wider MLB investigation into sports betting.
- The NFL has suspended at least 11 players for gambling since 2022.
- Former NBA player Jontay Porter was accused of disclosing confidential information about his health to a bettor. Another player, Malik Beasley, is under federal investigation over gambling allegations tied to NBA games.
8. π€ 1 fun thing: AI robot massage

When I first walked into the spa treatment room, I wondered whether I had made a terrible mistake, Axios Twin Cities' Torey Van Oot writes about trying an AI-powered robot massage at a Life Time gym.
- Turns out, it's more comfortable than it looks.
How it went: While the hands didn't feel quite like the real thing, they were remarkably human-like and warm.
- Much like a normal massage, I could feel tension melt away as it kneaded my back and glutes. Settings like pressure, speed and music are adjustable with a tap of the screen.
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