Apr 29, 2019

Axios AM

By Mike Allen
Mike Allen

🏇 Good Monday morning. Wednesday is May Day. The Kentucky Derby is Saturday.

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1 big thing: Youthful minorities will drive elections
Expand chart
Data: IPUMS NHGIS, University of Minnesota, Census Bureau. Chart: Naema Ahmed/Axios

The U.S. is projected to become majority minority by 2045, Axios' Stef Kight writes:

  • Next year, the entire under-18 population will be majority non-white, according to William Frey, a Brookings demographer and author of "Diversity Explosion: How New Racial Demographics are Remaking America."
  • In less than a decade, the population under 30 will be majority non-white.

The bottom line: "Youthful minorities are the engine of future growth," per Brookings.

  • Why it's happening: The trend is largely due to a rise in Hispanic and Asian immigrants, as well as slightly higher birth rates among non-whites.
  • Why it matters: The U.S. can thrive as it embraces its new demographic makeup, or see an escalation of fighting, racism and xenophobia.

National identity: Racial tension and anti-immigrant sentiment have grown.

  • White Americans often feel threatened by growing diversity, according to research by Jennifer Richeson, a social psychologist at Yale University.
  • A Pew Research Center survey found that 59% of Republicans and 46% of whites said a majority non-white population will weaken American culture.

President Trump and other politicians capitalize on polarization.

  • "The panic translates into an effective voting block that has high anxiety about immigration, diversity and religious issues," says Jack Goldstone, a public policy professor at George Mason University.

Younger voters and minorities are more likely to lean Democrat.

  • But many white, Hispanic Americans —people who are racially white, but with Spanish or Latin American origins — have more conservative values, Goldstone said. If the GOP learned to embrace more Hispanic voters, the party could draw new energy.
  • As immigrant minorities assimilate, "they may turn out to vote more like whites," said Richard Alba, a sociologist at the City University of New York.

What to watch ... Younger generations are more likely to be biracial: People of two or more races are projected to be the fastest growing racial or ethnic group over the next several decades, according to the Census Bureau.

  • This trend, along with an increase in the white Hispanic population could change the conversation about race in America.

Share the graphic.

2. New tech fuels ancient hate
Rabbi Yisroel Goldstein speaks yesterday at a news conference at the Chabad synagogue in Poway, Calif., where a gunman killed beloved congregant Lori Kaye, 60. Photo: Denis Poroy/AP

"[E]nabled by the largely unchecked freedoms of social media, individual extremists have launched a steady series of assaults on [sacred spaces] around the world," the WashPost's Marc Fisher, Roxana Popescu and Kayla Epstein write.

  • "[O]ver the past six months, attackers have targeted Jews as they worshiped at Pittsburgh’s Tree of Life synagogue in October and [on Saturday] at the Chabad of Poway near San Diego; ... Christians at Easter services in Sri Lanka; and Muslims praying in Christchurch, New Zealand."
  • Why it matters: "The nature and frequency of these attacks have raised urgent questions about how to fight extremism in a time of political polarization ... and diminished trust in ... religious and political institutions."

N.Y. Times Quote of the Day ... Rabbi Yisroel Goldstein, who was shot in both hands on Saturday, and helped children escape the synagogue near San Diego:

  • "These little kids were there, so scared. I just grabbed them with my bloody fingers. They were screaming and I was shouting."
3. 🍿 "Avengers" shows theaters still matter
Photo: Disney/Marvel Studios via AP

The record-breaking $1.2 billion opening weekend for Disney's three-hour-long presentation of Marvel’s "Avengers: Endgame" shows the critical role theaters still play in a streaming age, Axios' Sara Fischer writes.

  • It also shows the power of the popular franchises that Disney has cultivated: Five of the top-10 highest-grossing box office opening weekends belong to Disney-owned franchises, including Marvel and Star Wars.

🎬 Coming attractions, from the N.Y. Times' Brooks Barnes:

  • "Disney's 'The Lion King,' a retelling of the animated musical using photo-realistic visual effects, arrives in July."
  • "In December, Disney will release 'Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,' the final chapter in a nine-part saga."
  • "Also coming this year are giants like 'Toy Story 4' (Disney), 'The Secret Life of Pets 2' (Universal), 'Spider-Man: Far From Home' (Sony) and 'It: Chapter 2' (Warner Bros.)."
4. Pic du jour
Photo: Frank Kuin/AP

Seattle is leery of its crane-filled skyline after a deadly accident Saturday, the N.Y. Times' Karen Weise writes:

  • "For ... a tech boomtown anxious about how fast it is growing, one distinction has been bittersweet: More giant construction cranes crowding its skyline than in any other city in the country, for three years running."
  • On Saturday, "pieces of one came crashing down from atop a building being built for Google, killing two ironworkers who were involved with taking the crane apart and two passers-by on the busy street below."
5. John Bolton: "The Monroe Doctrine is alive and well"
John Bolton in the Cabinet Room on April 2. Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

The New Yorker's Dexter Filkins profiles national security adviser John Bolton, "On the Warpath":

  • "A Western diplomat who knows Bolton [said], 'The trouble for Bolton is, Trump does not want war. He does not want to launch military operations. To get the job, Bolton had to cut his balls off and put them on Trump’s desk.'"

On Venezuela, Bolton told Filkins: "The Monroe Doctrine is alive and well. ... It’s our hemisphere."

  • The doctrine was a prohibition against outside powers interceding in Latin America. "That doesn’t mean armed force," Bolton said. "That’s the Roosevelt Corollary. I haven’t invoked that — yet ... [A]ll options are on the table."

Why he matters: "With Trump’s national-security team depleted — no permanent Secretary of Defense, no Secretary of Homeland Security, no Ambassador to the United Nations — Bolton would have extraordinary latitude in a crisis."

6. "I'm not the one that slept with the porn star"
Michael Cohen takes a call on Park Avenue last year. Photo: Yana Paskova/Getty Images

In "Last Days of Freedom," The New Yorker's Jeffrey Toobin profiles Michael Cohen, who begins serving a three-year sentence at the federal prison in Otisville, N.Y., a week from today:

When we met, Cohen remained outraged that he was prosecuted and Trump was not. "You are going to find me guilty of campaign finance, with McDougal or Stormy, and give me three years — really?" Cohen said. "And how come I'm the only one? I didn’t work for the campaign. I worked for him. And how come I’m the one that’s going to prison? I'm not the one that slept with the porn star."

Go deeper.

7. 🗞 N.Y. Times apologizes for anti-Semitic cartoon

"The New York Times ... apologized for a [Portuguese] cartoon published in the Opinion pages of its international edition that drew widespread condemnation for being anti-Semitic," The Times' Stacy Cowley writes.

  • "The cartoon ... portrayed a blind President Trump, wearing a skullcap, being led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel, drawn as a dog on a leash with a Star of David collar."

The Times posted a statement Saturday that didn't include an apology. Criticism grew, and the paper said in a new statement yesterday that it is "deeply sorry":

  • "[B]ecause of a faulty process, a single editor working without adequate oversight downloaded the syndicated cartoon. ... We anticipate significant changes."
  • The cartoon was distributed (then pulled) by the New York Times Licensing Group, which acquired it via an automated feed.

Vice President Pence tweeted: "We stand with Israel and we condemn antisemitism in ALL its forms, including @nytimes political cartoons."

8. Key to wind and solar: Making it last

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Axios' Amy Harder writes from Australia in her "Harder Line" column that technologies are proliferating to enable renewables to provide energy long after the wind stops blowing or the sun stops shining.

  • Why it matters: Figuring out a way to store energy is essential to get huge amounts of electricity from wind and solar — a goal of the backers of the Green New Deal and a critical piece of the broader puzzle for tackling climate change.

Tesla is testing technologies in Sydney after building the world’s largest battery two years ago to address regional blackouts in South Australia.

Go deeper.

9. Top women organizers launch Supermajority
Supermajority via YouTube

Three of the nation's most influential activists are launching a group called Supermajority to harness women's political power, AP's Julie Pace reports.

  • The group is the creation of Cecile Richards, former head of Planned Parenthood; Alicia Garza, co-founder of Black Lives Matter; and Ai-jen Poo, executive director of the National Domestic Workers Alliance.
  • Supermajority, which describes itself as multiracial and intergenerational, has a goal of training and mobilizing 2 million women over the next year to become organizers and political leaders in their communities.

Why it matters: The effort comes at a moment when women have emerged as perhaps the most powerful force in politics.

10. 1 run thing
Photo: Alastair Grant/AP

One runner in the 39th London Marathon had a bad time at the end, AP reports.

  • Lukas Bates, 30, running in a Big Ben costume, was attempting to break the world record for a runner dressed as a landmark building.
  • But as he finished, his costume's peaked roof, which stretched nearly five feet above his head, ran into the overhead scoreboard.

After several failed attempts to get under, a race steward helped him cross.

  • Bates finished in 3 hours, 54 minutes, 21 seconds.
  • That's almost 20 minutes slower than the record set by Richard Mietz, who ran the 2018 Berlin Marathon dressed as the Holstentor.
Photo: Alastair Grant/AP
Mike Allen

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