🗳️ Good Monday morning. 2020 finally begins for real: We'll get the election year's first result tonight! Iowa caucuses begin at 8 p.m. ET, 7 p.m. local.
Ahead of tonight's Iowa caucuses, Bernie Sanders' momentum is forcing his rivals to try to lower expectations, and is feeding the Democratic establishment's fears, Axios' Margaret Talev and Alexi McCammond report from Des Moines.
Reality check: Iowa wins propelled long-shot Democrats like Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Barack Obama in 2008, and showed how enthusiasm can turn into lasting momentum for close seconds, like Sanders in 2016.
What we're hearing/seeing: Biden's team is anxious and defensive about the polling and narrative leading into tonight.
The bottom line: The conventional wisdom is that tonight is Bernie’s to lose.
Three results will be reported tonight: raw vote totals, delegates, and turnout.
The intrigue: The frontrunners — Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg and Joe Biden — have strategies to win over supporters of lower-tier candidates for the second round, Axios' Margaret Talev and Alexi McCammond report.
Pundit cheat sheet: 6% of Iowans are Latino. Sanders has worked, more than any other candidate, to court them and prepare them to caucus for him.
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
The coronavirus could be as damaging to the global economy as the U.S.-China trade war, economists tell Axios' Dion Rabouin and Joann Muller.
The big picture: A swath of industries already have felt the sting, with giant American companies shutting down operations in China or halting production and banning employee travel.
Former Sen. Bob Dole of Kansas, 96, tweeted this photo of himself at the Super Bowl in Miami with his wife, former Sen. Elizabeth Dole, 83: "I’m all Chiefs!"
President Trump told reporters at a Super Bowl watch party that he plans "a very, very positive message" in his State of the Union address.
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer will give Democrats' SOTU rebuttal.
President Trump used his Super Bowl interview with Fox News' Sean Hannity, taped at Mar-a-Lago, to accuse Michael Bloomberg, rising in the Democratic race, of wanting "a box for the debates to stand on":
But here's the thing: TV networks routinely offer a riser to debate participants.
New lobbying urging Congress to support a price on carbon emissions isn't convincing lawmakers to warm up to the policy, Axios' Amy Harder writes in her "Harder Line" column.
House Democrats recently introduced legislation that relies on mandates that could put an indirect — and thus less efficient — price on CO2.
New England Patriots QB Tom Brady may not have been in the Super Bowl, but he lit up Twitter with what seemed like a retirement announcement during the commercials:
Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid is doused on the sideline after locking in his first Super Bowl win — coming from behind to top the San Francisco 49ers, 31-20 — after 22 seasons.