🎲 Happy Tuesday from Vegas on opening day of the Consumer Electronics Show.
Situational awareness: "Beto O’Rourke is asking aides to create an itinerary for him to take a solo road trip outside of Texas where he would 'pop into places' such as community college campuses," as he considers whether to run in 2020. (WSJ)
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
White House officials are increasingly concerned that the impending real-world effects of the shutdown could swamp Republicans if they don't find a way to make a deal fast, Jonathan Swan reports.
According to conversations with multiple sources familiar with speech prep, the White House plan is for Trump to ditch his fiery campaign rhetoric and hot partisan attacks on Speaker Pelosi and Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer.
Inside the strategy: West Wing officials plan to spend the next 72 hours hammering Democrats and trying to make them feel pain for the shutdown.
Fact check: "U.S. Customs and Border Protection encountered only six immigrants on the U.S.-Mexico border in the first half of fiscal year 2018 whose names were on a federal government list of known or suspected terrorists," according to CBP data obtained by NBC News' Julia Ainsley.
Behind the scenes: Trump aides have deliberately held back on an Oval Office address — one of a president's most potent weapons. There was some internal discussion about doing one to sell tax reform, but it never got very far.
An important point to remember: Ordinary people, and in some cases vulnerable people, may soon be harmed by this shutdown.
Another factor that the Trump administration is getting worried about: the damage for POTUS if House Republicans start to lose members on individual bills related to the shutdown this week, which is likely to happen.
Be smart, from a well-wired Republican: “Interestingly, Ds are doing exactly what Rs did during the Obamacare shutdown — trying to open popular pieces one at a time."
The shutdown "could wreak havoc on U.S. agriculture, and the rural economy, as farmers wait on subsidy payments, loans and data they need now to make plans for the spring," per the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's Rick Barrett.
The shutdown is starting to affect air travel, with long weekend lines at some airport checkpoints, apparently caused by a rising number of security officers calling in sick while they are not getting paid, per AP.
P.S. ... Trump is edging toward a national emergency declaration, and increasingly views it "as a viable, if risky, way" for him to build his wall, per the WashPost.
Illustration: Lazaro Gamio/Axios
In a study provided first to Axios, 68% of young people (ages 14 to 29) said school shootings are the most important issue facing the U.S., Steve LeVine reports.
About the study: Della Volpe conducted focus groups of 14- to 29-year-olds in multiple cities — Atlanta, Chicago, Columbus, L.A. and Parkland, Fla. Then he polled 2,235 people from the same age group.
Important fact: School shootings have politicized this generation. A preliminary estimate is that 31% of those polled voted in the midterms, Della Volpe said, nearly double the 2014 midterm turnout for this age group.
Shutdowns are "usually about something. In '95 and '96, it was balancing the budget. In 2013, it was about Obamacare and sequestration and cutting spending. ... This is like the 'Seinfeld' shutdown."— Joe Scarborough on MSNBC's "Morning Joe"
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
Less than a year ago, Kim said he was "completely committed to my job," after reportedly being approached to be president of Harvard.
The president of the World Bank is elected by all the bank's member states in what the organization calls an "open, merit-based and transparent" process.
With Trump in the White House, the Europeans have never been less inclined to scratch the Americans' back.
The ball is now in Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin's court.
NBCUniversal will reduce the number of ads during prime time, and is looking now at other times throughout the day to do the same, Axios' Sara Fischer scoops.
What's new: NBCUniversal tells Sara that it will reduce the number of commercial breaks in prime-time TV shows by more than 20% across all of its networks by 2020. Last year, it committed to a 10% reduction in ad breaks.
Between the lines: Cutting down on TV ads is only half of the strategy. NBCU is also pushing to simultaneously provide better targeting options and also sell more digital ads.
Disclosure: NBC is an investor in Axios.
Illustration: Rebecca Zisser/Axios
Amazon is quietly piloting a program to let brands like Maybelline and Folgers pay to send free samples to consumers — all based on what the retail giant already knows they're likely to buy, Axios' David McCabe and Sara Fischer report.
P.S. ... "Amazon has eclipsed Microsoft as the most valuable publicly traded company in the U.S. as a see-sawing stock market continues to reshuffle corporate America's pecking order." (AP)
"The warnings sound like the plot of a Hollywood spy thriller: The Chinese hide malware in a Metro rail car's security camera system that allows surveillance of Pentagon or White House officials as they ride the Blue Line — sending images back to Beijing," the WashPost's Bob McCartney and Faiz Siddiqui write.
"Congress, the Pentagon and industry experts have taken the warnings seriously, and now Metro will do the same."
"Banks, insurers and money managers are planning to move about 800 billion pounds ($1 trillion) of assets from the U.K. to the rest of Europe as Brexit uncertainty takes its toll, according to a survey ... by EY." (Bloomberg)
Courtesy Thomas Dunne Books
President Trump is curious — and White House aides, alumni and reporters are anxious — ahead of the Jan. 29 publication of the tightly embargoed "Team of Vipers," a delicious, unsparing memoir by former Trump aide Cliff Sims.
The Daily Beast reports: "A 2016 campaign veteran, Sims had enjoyed wide access in part due to his personal friendship with Trump. The two men were so close that the president affectionately called him 'my Cliff.'"
Scoop: ABC News has won a fiercely competitive effort to score the first broadcast interview with Sims, whose book deal was seven figures.
According to a publishing source who has read the book: "No one emerges unscathed."
Clemson makes a bid to be considered the best college football team ever after dominating Alabama, 44-16, in last night's national championship game, AP's Paul Newberry writes:
Final AP poll: 1) Clemson ... 2) Alabama ... 3) Ohio State ... 4) Oklahoma ... 5) Notre Dame ... 6) LSU ... Tie for 7) Florida, Georgia ... 9) Texas ... 10) Washington State.