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Roy Moore, a former Alabama chief justice, has 50.3% support compared to incumbent Sen. Luther Strange's 32.2%, per a Decision Desk HQ/Opinion Savvy poll.

Moore's 18-point lead comes one month before the September 26th primary runoff that will decide the Republican nominee to replace Attorney General Jeff Sessions.

Expand chart
Data: Decision Desk HQ/Opinion Savvy Poll of likely voters, Aug. 22, 2017; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon

Why it matters: Strange has strong endorsements from both President Trump and Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, but Moore is the Trumpian candidate, whose campaign ad's say he'll "drain the swamp." Polling indicates that the president's populist message, rather than his explicit endorsement, resonates with his base. As recently as December 2016, Moore said there was "a big question" about President Obama's citizenship, reigniting the disproved "birther" debate.

One Trump thing: 68.6% of voters polled say they "strongly approve" of Trump's performance.

Polling data, including methodology, here.

Go deeper

White House unveils landmark reports on climate links to security, migration

Photo Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios. Photo: John Moore/Getty Images

The Biden administration on Thursday released a sweeping set of assessments on how to view threats that climate change poses to national security and its role in fueling migration.

Why it matters: One of the key products, a formal National Intelligence Estimate on climate change, marks the first time all 18 elements of the U.S. intelligence community have released a consensus report on the topic.

Scoop: Garland defends DOJ's handling of Jan. 6 probe

Attorney General Merrick Garland. Photo: Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

Attorney General Merrick Garland will tell the House Judiciary Committee on Thursday that federal prosecutors "are doing exactly what they are expected to do" in seeking accountability for the "intolerable assault" on the Capitol on Jan. 6, Axios has learned.

Why it matters: Allies of former President Trump, including Republican congressmen, have criticized the department's treatment rioters charged with crimes, and sought to recast the insurrection as a righteous protest. Garland's testimony with be his first appearance before the panel.

Updated 53 mins ago - World

Police charge man with murder of British MP David Amess

Police outside Belfairs Methodist Church in Leigh-on-Sea, England, on Oct. 15. Photo: John Keeble/Getty Images

Police said Thursday that Ali Harbi Ali, a 25-year-old British man, has been charged with the murder of David Amess, a Conservative Party lawmaker in the U.K.

The big picture: Last week, the Metropolitan Police declared the fatal stabbing a terrorist incident, saying that they had found "a potential motivation linked to Islamist extremism."