Roy Moore, a former Alabama chief justice, has 50.3% support compared to incumbent Sen. Luther Strange's 32.2%, per a Decision Desk HQ/Opinion Savvy poll.

Moore's 18-point lead comes one month before the September 26th primary runoff that will decide the Republican nominee to replace Attorney General Jeff Sessions.

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Data: Decision Desk HQ/Opinion Savvy Poll of likely voters, Aug. 22, 2017; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon

Why it matters: Strange has strong endorsements from both President Trump and Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, but Moore is the Trumpian candidate, whose campaign ad's say he'll "drain the swamp." Polling indicates that the president's populist message, rather than his explicit endorsement, resonates with his base. As recently as December 2016, Moore said there was "a big question" about President Obama's citizenship, reigniting the disproved "birther" debate.

One Trump thing: 68.6% of voters polled say they "strongly approve" of Trump's performance.

Polling data, including methodology, here.

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Report: Goldman to settle DOJ probe into Malaysia's 1MDB for over $2B

Illustration: Lazaro Gamio/Axios

Goldman Sachs has agreed with the Department of Justice to pay over $2 billion for the bank's role in Malaysia's multi-billion dollar scandal at state fund 1MDB, Bloomberg first reported.

Why it matters: The settlement, expected to be announced within days, would allow Goldman Sachs to avoid a criminal conviction in the U.S. over the bribery and money laundering scandal that saw three of its former bankers banned for life from the banking industry by the Federal Reserve Board.

Trump threatens to post "60 Minutes" interview early after reportedly walking out

Trump speaks to reporters aboard Air Force One, Oct. 19. Photo: Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

President Trump tweeted on Tuesday that he was considering posting his interview with CBS' "60 Minutes" prior to airtime in order to show "what a FAKE and BIASED interview" it was, following reports that he abruptly ended the interview after 45 minutes of taping.

Why it matters: Trump has escalated his war on the media in the final stretch of his re-election campaign, calling a Reuters reporter a "criminal" this week for not reporting on corruption allegations about Hunter Biden and disparaging CNN as "dumb b*stards" for the network's ongoing coronavirus coverage.