Joe Mauer's Hall of Fame fate will be revealed Tuesday

Reality check: Half of voters have revealed their ballots and Mauer currently has 83% of those votes. He needs 75% to make the cut.

Between the lines: While those numbers look good, the voters who don't share their ballots tend to be more selective, so it could be very close.

Yes, but: Even if he misses it narrowly this year, he's a shoo-in to make it in future years because players tend to get more votes as time goes on.

By the numbers: While Hall of Fame voting is not based just on numbers, there's a good analytics case to be made for Mauer.

• Based on a metric called "wins above replacement" — which tries to measure how many wins a player provides a team compared to a marginal baseball player — Mauer would rank ninth out of the 16 catchers currently in the Hall of Fame, according to Baseball Reference.

• He won an MVP award, three batting titles and was selected to six all-star games, though critics will note his play dropped off later in his career following several injuries.

What to watch: Results will be announced at 5pm on MLB Network.