Warm, dry winter coming?

San Diego's winter is expected to be both warmer and drier than average this year.

Between the lines: That outlook comes from the expectation of weak La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean.

Reality check: Confidence in that forecast is weaker than it would be given strong La Niña conditions, and is only a probabilistic outlook.

• In other words, NOAA says there's an above-average chance of a warmer, drier winter.