Aug 8, 2022 - News

Forecasters double down on warning of busy Atlantic hurricane season

A weather forecaster looks at modeling on screens.

Photo: Chandan Khanna/AFP via Getty Images

Government weather gurus have updated their Atlantic hurricane season predictions, and chances remain high that it's going to be unusually active this year.

Driving the news: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration made predictions Thursday that six to 10 hurricanes will form in the Atlantic Ocean by the end of November.

Yes, but: These predictions are for overall seasonal activity and don't say anything about whether a storm will make landfall or not.

By the numbers: An average hurricane season will see 14 named storms (winds of at least 39 mph), including seven total hurricanes (winds 74 mph or greater). Of those, three are typically major hurricanes.

  • NOAA's updated prediction for this year estimates 14 to 20 named storms. So far, we have seen three.
  • Of the possible hurricanes, three to five could become major, with winds of at least 111 mph.

What we're watching: Forecasters are monitoring a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic that, as of Monday, has a 40% chance of turning into a tropical depression over the next five days as it moves west.


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