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John Kerry, U.S special presidential envoy for climate, gestures as he arrives at the Ministry of Finance in New Delhi, India, on April 6. (T. Narayan/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

John Kerry, President Biden's special envoy on climate change, is traveling to Shanghai, China and then on to South Korea for meetings on reducing emissions of planet-warming greenhouse gases, the State Department said.

Why it matters: Kerry is the highest-ranking U.S. official to visit China since Biden took office, and these talks come less than two weeks in advance of a virtual White House climate summit on April 22-23.

The background: China is the world's largest emitter, with the U.S. in second place. Kerry is trying to move China to establish a more stringent emissions target for the year 2030, which is considered crucial for limiting global warming to 1.5 degree Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) as outlined in the Paris Climate Agreement.

  • The world is currently well off track when it comes to meeting that target. Instead, it's on course to warm by more than 3 degrees Celsius (5.4 degrees Fahrenheit).
  • The consequences of such a temperature increase could be catastrophic, scientists have warned, including the loss of vital ecosystems such as coral reefs and the destabilization of polar ice sheets.

The intrigue: The White House is expected to use the summit to secure more stringent emissions reduction commitments by the year 2030. A State Department spokesperson said Kerry's message for Beijing will be blunt.

  • "We must insist Beijing do more to reduce emissions and help tackle the worldwide climate crisis. We cannot successfully address the climate challenge without significant additional action by China," the spokesperson said. 
  • "China represents almost 30 percent of global emissions, in addition to its carbon-intensive investments abroad."
  • China has committed to peak its emissions before 2030, and reach carbon neutrality by 2060, but these targets would not be ambitious enough to meet the Paris agreement's target of holding the global temperature increase to "well below" 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 Fahrenheit) by 2100, relative to preindustrial levels.
  • Kerry has said he is aiming to keep the most ambitious target of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees above preindustrial levels viable by getting countries to set targets that unleash innovation in the private sector.

What to watch: Kerry will also meet with other senior Chinese government officials, the State Department said.

Yes, but: The State Department is trying to keep expectations low, stating that Kerry's trip: "Is intended only to continue these important discussions."  

Of note: Kerry faces the difficult task of trying to separate the climate issue from the more contentious matters facing the U.S.-China relationship, from trade to its military buildup in the South China Sea.

  • “The climate issue is a free-standing issue. It’s not for trade against the other critical differences that we have with China right now,” Kerry told the Wall Street Journal in an interview.

What's next: The Biden administration is expected to release its more ambitious emissions reduction target during or just before next week's summit.

Go deeper

Biden under pressure to set tough emissions target

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

In the run-up to the White House's virtual climate summit on April 22-23, environmental groups and now major corporations are presenting a united front in calling for at least a 50% cut in U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, when compared to 2005 levels.

Why it matters: The 2030 targets are needed since the world is on course to sail above the warming targets set in place by the Paris Climate Agreement, resulting in potentially catastrophic climate impacts. These include the loss of much of the world's coral reefs and melting of some of the planet's largest ice sheets.

Ben Geman, author of Generate
Apr 12, 2021 - Energy & Environment

Why carbon pricing is unlikely to play a big role in climate talks

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

The problem for backers of U.S. carbon pricing isn't that there's no Beltway interest — some of Washington's most powerful officials and K Street interests like the idea. It's that the timing never seems to work out.

Driving the news: "President Biden believes that at some point in time we need to find out a way to have a price on carbon that’s effective," John Kerry, President Biden's special climate envoy, said at a briefing in India last week.

Apr 13, 2021 - World

Senate committee prepares to vote on sweeping bill to counter China

Illustration: Rae Cook/Axios

The Senate Foreign Relations Committee is preparing to vote on a 280-page bipartisan bill that aims to counter the Chinese Communist Party's global influence.

Why it matters: The bill marks a culmination of years of growing concerns over the rise of an increasingly authoritarian China. It would allocate hundreds of millions of dollars to a raft of new initiatives aimed at helping the U.S. succeed in long-term ideological, military, economic and technological competition.