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Beshear and his son, Nov. 5. Photo: Michael Clevenger/Courier Journal, Louisville Courier Journal via Imagn Content Services, LLC

Kentucky Democrat Andy Beshear was holding a narrow lead Tuesday night over President Trump's pick for governor, incumbent Matt Bevin.

Why it matters: A win from Beshear would suggest that the impeachment inquiry into Trump is not the useful 2020 strategy Republicans assumed it would be, even in Trump-friendly states.

Between the lines: Bevin has a 53% disapproval rate and is the second-most unpopular governor in the U.S., according to Morning Consult's Q3 polling. Trump's popularity in Kentucky, which he won with 62.5% in 2016, apparently didn't give Bevin a real edge against Beshear.

What they're saying: "The President just about dragged Gov. Matt Bevin across the finish line, helping him run stronger than expected in what turned into a very close race at the end. A final outcome remains to be seen," Brad Parscale, Trump 2020 campaign manager, said in a statement Tuesday.

Go deeper: Trump slams Dems in rallying cry for Kentucky governor ahead of race

Editor’s note: This story is being updated as the situation unfolds.

Go deeper

GOP implosion: Trump threats, payback

Spotted last week on a work van in Evansville, Ind. Photo: Sam Owens/The Evansville Courier & Press via Reuters

The GOP is getting torn apart by a spreading revolt against party leaders for failing to stand up for former President Trump and punish his critics.

Why it matters: Republican leaders suffered a nightmarish two months in Washington. Outside the nation’s capital, it's even worse.

Erica Pandey, author of @Work
3 hours ago - Economy & Business

The limits of Biden's plan to cancel student debt

Data: New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax; Chart: Axios Visuals

There’s a growing consensus among Americans who want President Biden to cancel student debt — but addressing the ballooning debt burden is much more complicated than it seems.

Why it matters: Student debt is stopping millions of Americans from buying homes, buying cars and starting families. And the crisis is rapidly getting worse.

Why made-for-TV moments matter during the pandemic

Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photos: Erin Schaff-Pool, Biden Inaugural Committee via Getty Images

In a world where most Americans are isolated and forced to laugh, cry and mourn without friends or family by their side, viral moments can offer critical opportunities to unite the country or divide it.

Driving the news: President Biden's inauguration was produced to create several made-for-social viral moments, a tactic similar to what the Democratic National Committee and the Biden campaign pulled off during the Democratic National Convention.