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The Majnoon oil field in Iraq. Photo: Hussein Faleh/AFP/Getty Images

Iraq is projected to be the third-largest contributor to global oil supply growth between now and 2030, adding roughly 1.3 million barrels per day if circumstances align, according to a new International Energy Agency report.

The big picture: That potential output rise would bring Iraq's total production to almost 6 million barrels per day in 2030, making it the world's 4th-largest producer.

But, but, but: It depends on factors including sufficient water supplies for injection into reservoirs, attracting foreign capital, and a "conducive political and security environment," IEA said.

Where it stands: "Iraq’s oil sector has navigated well a very turbulent period in the last decade, managing to nearly double its output despite the war against [Islamic State] and large swings in the oil price," the report notes.

Go deeper: U.S. projected to "dominate" oil supply growth over next five years

Go deeper

Updated 6 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

  1. Health: Most vulnerable Americans aren't getting enough vaccine information — Fauci says Trump administration's lack of facts on COVID "very likely" cost lives.
  2. Politics: Biden unveils "wartime" COVID strategyBiden's COVID-19 bubble.
  3. Vaccine: Florida requiring proof of residency to get vaccine — CDC extends interval between vaccine doses for exceptional cases.
  4. World: Hong Kong to put tens of thousands on lockdown as cases surge.
  5. Sports: 2021 Tokyo Olympics hang in the balance.
  6. 🎧 Podcast: Carbon Health's CEO on unsticking the vaccine bottleneck.

Trump impeachment trial to start week of Feb. 8, Schumer says

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer. Photo: The Washington Post via Getty

The Senate will begin former President Trump's impeachment trial the week of Feb. 8, Majority Leader Chuck Schumer announced Friday on the Senate floor.

The state of play: Schumer announced the schedule after reaching an agreement with Republicans. The House will transmit the article of impeachment against the former president late Monday.

7 hours ago - Health

CDC extends interval between COVID vaccine doses for exceptional cases

Photo: Joseph Prezioso/AFP via Getty

Patients can space out the two doses of the coronavirus vaccine by up to six weeks if it’s "not feasible" to follow the shorter recommended window, according to updated guidance from the Centers for Disease and Control and Prevention.

Driving the news: With the prospect of vaccine shortages and a low likelihood that supply will expand before April, the latest changes could provide a path to vaccinate more Americans — a top priority for President Biden.