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The House finally gave President Trump the health care vote he wanted this afternoon, passing its bill to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act by the thinnest of margins. It now goes to the Senate, which is likely to rewrite it heavily and go through its own balancing act between moderates and conservatives — if it can pass the bill at all.

The key numbers:

  • Yes votes: 217
  • No votes: 213
  • Number of votes Republicans could lose: 22
  • Number they did lose: 20

What stays the same: The Senate will be under as much pressure as the House to finish the job of replacing the ACA, especially now that the House has passed a bill.

The differences: Senators are more independent than House members — and more likely to resist White House pressure. Plus, they might wait for a Congressional Budget Office estimate.

The "fly on the wall" moment: The applause from the Republican side of the chamber when they reached 216 votes — followed by the Democrats singing, "Na na na na, hey hey, goodbye."

The debate in two quotes:

  • " A lot of us have been waiting seven years to cast this vote. A lot of us are here because we pledged to cast this very vote." — Ryan
  • " You will have this bill tattooed on your forehead." — House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi

What to watch: If the CBO says the House bill increases the deficit — which is possible after the latest changes — it might lose the budget "reconciliation" protections that would allow the Senate to pass it with 51 votes, according to conservative health care analyst Chris Jacobs. And if it needs 60 votes, it will fail because Democrats will never vote for it.

What's next: President Trump has promised a "big press conference at the beautiful Rose Garden of the White House."

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Updated 12 mins ago - World

Hong Kong media tycoon Jimmy Lai arrested under national security law

Media tycoon Jimmy Lai at the Next Digital offices in Hong Kong in June. Photo: Anthony Wallace/AFP via Getty Images

Hong Kong pro-democracy activist Jimmy Lai has been arrested for "collusion with foreign powers," said Mark Simon, an executive at the tycoon's media firm Next Digital Monday morning local time.

Why it matters: He was arrested under the national security law imposed by China in late June that gives Beijing more powers over the former British colony. Lai is the most prominent person arrested under the law, which prompted the U.S. to sanction Chinese officials, including Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam, over Beijing's efforts to strip the territory of its autonomy.

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Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 8:30 p.m. ET: 19,769,560— Total deaths: 729,351 — Total recoveries — 12,030,061Map.
  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 8:30 p.m. ET: 5,041,573 — Total deaths: 162,913 — Total recoveries: 1,656,864 — Total tests: 61,792,571Map.
  3. Politics: Pelosi says states don't have the funds to comply with Trump's executive order on unemployment — Mnuchin says Trump executive orders were cleared by Justice Department.
  4. States: New York reports lowest rate of positive coronavirus test results since pandemic began
  5. Public health: Ex-FDA head: U.S. will "definitely" see 200,000 to 300,000 virus deaths by end of 2020. 
  6. Schools: Nine test positive at Georgia school where photo showing packed hallway went viral — How back-to-school is playing out in the South as coronavirus rages on.

New York reports new low positive coronavirus test rate

People physically distancing at tables in New York City's Times Square in June. Photo: Johannes Eisele/AFP via Getty Images

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) announced Sunday 515 people, or 0.78% of those tested, returned a positive reading for COVID-19 the previous day.

Why it matters: It's the lowest single-day positive rate since the start of the pandemic. It's another sign that the state that was once a global coronavirus epicenter is curbing the spread of the virus. "Our daily numbers remain low and steady, despite increasing infection rates across the country, and even in our region," Cuomo said in a statement. "But we must not become complacent: Everyone should continue to wear their masks and socially distance."

Go deeper: Cuomo says all New York schools can reopen for in-person learning