(J. Scott Applewhite / AP)

The House Republican leadership is discussing removing the "continuous coverage" provision of the House Obamacare repeal and replacement bill in response to conservative concerns about it, according to a senior GOP aide.

What it does: It requires insurers to impose a one-year, 30 percent premium penalty on anyone enrolling in the individual or small group markets who was uninsured for more than 63 days within the past year.

Why it might go: The concerns center around estimates provided Monday by the Congressional Budget Office about the impact of the provision:

  • It would increase the number of covered people in 2018, but then decrease that number in 2019 and on.
  • While it was included in the bill to encourage young, healthy people to sign up for health insurance, the people who would be deterred from buying coverage because of the penalty would be healthier than those who would be willing to sign up. Sick people have more incentive to pay more for health insurance, as it's still cheaper than their medical bills.

Why it matters: Of all the ideas for changing the bill, this is one with potential to make everyone happy.

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Amy Coney Barrett's immediate impact

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

In her first week on the job, Amy Coney Barrett may be deciding which votes to count in the presidential election. By her third week, she’ll be deciding the fate of the Affordable Care Act.

Where it stands: The Senate votes on Barrett’s nomination tomorrow. If she’s confirmed, Chief Justice John Roberts is expected to swear her in at the Supreme Court within hours, an administration official tells Axios.

Texas Democrats beg Biden to spend now

Photo: Ron Jenkins/Getty Images

The Biden campaign is rebuffing persistent pleas from Texas Democrats to spend at least $10 million in the Lone Star state, several people familiar with the talks tell Axios.

Why it matters: If Texas — which has 38 electoral votes and is steadily getting more blue, but hasn't backed a Democrat for president since 1976 — flipped to the Biden column, it would be game over. But the RealClearPolitics polling average stubbornly hovers at +2.6 for Trump — and Team Biden appears more focused on closer targets.

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Election night in Trumpworld

Photo illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios. Photo: Chris Carlson-Pool/Getty Images

A luxe election-night watch party at the Trump International Hotel on Pennsylvania Avenue is being planned for President Trump's donors, friends and advisers — but Trump's hand in it is minimal because he's "very superstitious" — people familiar with the plans tell Axios.

The big picture: This "mecca for all things MAGA," as one adviser described it, is one of three hubs where they say Trumpworld will watch returns. The others are the war room at campaign HQ in Rosslyn, Virginia, and the White House residence, where Trump and the first lady will gather close family and advisers before heading to the hotel later that night, the sources said.