Feb 3, 2018

Exclusive poll: GOP turns on FBI

President Trump's hammering on the FBI — and green-lighting yesterday of the Russia memo's release over Bureau objections — is having a profound effect:

A SurveyMonkey poll for Axios finds that not even 40% of Republicans approve of America's main federal law enforcement agency — a stunning turn for the law-and-order party.

Data: SurveyMonkey poll conducted Feb. 1 to 2, 2018. Poll Methodology; Chart: Axios Visuals

Why it matters: Trump, who earlier turned a huge swath of Republicans toward more favorable opinions of Russia, has now turned his party against his own FBI.

  • The numbers: FBI approval in the SurveyMonkey Poll, taken over the past two days, is 64% among Democrats and just 38% among Republicans. Unfavorable opinion of the FBI: 47% in the GOP; 14% among Ds.
  • As you see below, overall opinion of the FBI fell over the past year in the two polls we compared, likely driven entirely by falling approval from Rs.

Be smart: The stark new Republican skepticism of the FBI means that Trump has succeeded in preemptively undermining the findings of special counsel Bob Mueller.

  • Many Republicans will now see Mueller's report or recommendations as a political document, and the conservative media will portray it that way.
  • It's the great muddying we have been telling you about since December.
  • This is a massive swing from the initial bipartisan accolades for Mueller.
  • When the special counsel was named last May, Newt Gingrich tweeted: "Robert Mueller is superb choice to be special counsel. His reputation is impeccable for honesty and integrity. Media should now calm down."
Data: SurveyMonkey poll conducted Feb. 1 to 2, 2018. Poll Methodology. Pew Research Center poll conducted Jan. 5 to 8, 2017; Chart: Axios Visuals

Go deeper

Trump ahead of Democratic rivals in new poll

President Trump during a meeting in the Cabinet Room of the White House on Monday. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

President Trump is ahead of all Democratic 2020 candidates in a USA Today/Suffolk University poll published Monday.

Why it matters: The poll of 1,000 registered voters was conducted Dec. 10–14 as House Democrats prepared stepped up their case for the president's impeachment. It's a boost for Trump ahead of the impeachment vote, expected Wednesday.

Go deeperArrowDec 17, 2019

Poll: Fewer than half of Americans think Trump should be removed

Photo: Jess Kowalsky/AFP via Getty Images

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll released Thursday found that less than half of Americans polled believe Donald Trump, now the third president in U.S. history to be impeached, should be convicted in a Senate trial and removed from office.

Why it matters: The poll, conducted hours after the House charged Trump with abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, signifies that voters remain divided on impeachment and found that Wednesday's vote did little to change public opinion.

Go deeperArrowDec 19, 2019

2024 lookahead poll: GOP voters eye Trump dynasty

Data: Online SurveyMonkey poll (Margin of error: ±2.5 percentage points). Chart: Axios Visuals

Ready to skip 2020 and go straight to 2024? In a SurveyMonkey poll for Axios, Republican voters chose children of President Trump — Don Jr. and Ivanka — as two of the top four picks for president in four years.

  • Why it matters: An early poll like this is largely a measure of name ID. But it's also a vivid illustration of just how strong Trump's brand is with the GOP.
Go deeperArrowUpdated Jan 4, 2020