AI segments a 3D eye scan into sections representing different types of tissue. Animation: DeepMind

Doctors at a U.K. eye hospital are getting algorithmic help interpreting the results of 3D eye scans, using a system developed at Google's DeepMind that can identify more than 50 eye problems and recommend a course of action with human expert-level accuracy.

Why it matters: DeepMind's system shows an intermediate step in its work, and tells doctors how confident it is in its assessment. This is crucial, because AI systems are often too opaque to be able to explain their reasoning, making them risky to deploy in high-stakes environments like hospitals.

The big picture: Black-box algorithms make it difficult to check results for accuracy, and their ambiguous reasoning can decrease trust in their recommendations.

  • DeepMind’s two-step approach, which was published Monday in the Nature Medicine journal, tries to mitigate those problems.
  • The system has been tested for two years at Moorfields Eye Hospital in London, and still needs to undergo clinical trials before it can be implemented more broadly.

How it works: The system reads optical coherence tomography (OCT) scans, which are 3D representations of the back of a patient's eye.

  • In the first step, a neural network segments the scan, which is difficult for humans to read in its raw form, into colored areas that represent different types of tissue.
  • Then, the system analyzes the segmentation map with a second neural network, and identifies signs of disease using a separate classification network.
  • This second step offers clinicians the most likely diagnosis and recommends a course of action.
  • The results are paired with a percentage that shows the system’s confidence in a diagnosis or recommendation.
"One of the reasons we're putting so much effort into explainability and interpretation is that we desperately want to build trust with nurses and doctors."
— Mustafa Suleyman, DeepMind’s co-founder

The system’s 5.5% error rate matches or exceeds the accuracy of human eye experts, the DeepMind and University College London researchers wrote in the paper.

Since OCT scans can be ambiguous — different eye doctors will often interpret them differently — the DeepMind system’s recommendation is the result of not one analysis but a combination of 25 of them.

  • DeepMind uses five slightly different segmentation networks to create five eye diagrams. Then, it runs five slightly different classification networks on each of the five segmentation maps, resulting in 25 interpretations.
  • The confidence percentages displayed to clinicians show the results of these iterations. If nearly all the analyses indicated that a patient has choroidal neovascularization, that diagnosis would be highlighted with high confidence in the final result.

The two-step process also helps make it easy to retrain the system for different scanning equipment, allowing it to work on new, state-of-the-art equipment soon after it comes out — or older scanners that might not be as accurate.

  • Without the intermediate step, the system would need to see tens or even hundreds of thousands of scans from a new piece of equipment in order to learn to interpret them correctly, DeepMind Health research lead Trevor Back told Axios.
  • But DeepMind’s system needs fewer than 200 scans to train the segmentation network, which provides the color-coded map used for diagnoses and recommendations, for new equipment.
  • The DeepMind team focused on their products’s generalizability, Back said, in an effort to create a system that will actually be useful in eye clinics and hospitals.

What’s next: Since OCT scans are 3D, the technology DeepMind developed to analyze them could be useful for other types of 3D medical imaging, like CT scans, Suleiman said.

  • "3D imaging is one of the harder modalities to work on," he told Axios. "We want to learn as much as possible about the way our algorithms work in order to use them in other areas of radiology."
  • Suleiman said this research could help advance fundamental research into AI image and video understanding beyond hospital uses.

Go deeper: Read a DeepMind blog post about the new research, or the Nature Medicine paper for more technical details.

Go deeper

Debate commission co-chair: We don't expect moderators to fact-check candidates

Presidential Debate Commission co-chair Frank Fahrenkopf Jr. said Sunday he doesn't expect Fox News anchor Chris Wallace or any of the other moderators to fact-check President Trump or former Vice President Joe Biden at the debates.

What he's saying: "There's a vast difference between being a moderator in a debate and being a reporter who is interviewing someone." Fahrenkopf Jr. said on CNN's "Reliable Sources."

Updated 58 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 3:00 p.m. ET: 32,930,733 — Total deaths: 995,450 — Total recoveries: 22,782,236Map.
  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 3:00 p.m. ET: 7,094,145 — Total deaths: 204,607 — Total recoveries: 2,750,459 — Total tests: 100,492,536Map.
  3. States: 3 states set single-day coronavirus case records last week — New York daily cases top 1,000 for first time since June.
  4. Health: The long-term pain of the mental health pandemicFewer than 10% of Americans have coronavirus antibodies.
  5. Business: Millions start new businesses in time of coronavirus.
  6. Education: Summer college enrollment offers a glimpse of COVID-19's effect.
Updated 2 hours ago - Health

3 states set single-day coronavirus case records last week

Data: Compiled by Axios; Map: Danielle Alberti/Axios

Utah, North Carolina and Wyoming set new highs last week for coronavirus infections recorded in a single day, according to the COVID Tracking Project (CTP) and state health departments. Utah and Wyoming surpassed records set the previous week.

Why it matters: Record case highs have usually meant that more hospitalizations and other serious outcomes are on the way, CTP's latest weekly update notes.

Get Axios AM in your inbox

Catch up on coronavirus stories and special reports, curated by Mike Allen everyday

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!