Factory activity in the eurozone contracted at the fastest pace in nearly six years.

The state of play: The bloc's aggregate PMI fell to 47.6 in March from 49.3, well below the 50 threshold that is the baseline for whether the sector is expanding or contracting. In Germany, Europe's largest economy, new orders fell to the lowest level in a decade. And, in France, both manufacturing and service sector PMIs are now in the red.

  • Japan's manufacturing PMI also has fallen into contraction territory, following China's weakening readings that started falling below 50 late last year.

What's next: The market will likely be on pins and needles for the rest of this week awaiting readings on the U.S. economy. February's core PCE report will be released on Friday and other major U.S. data releases won't come until the week of April 1.  

  • February retail sales, the ADP private sector jobs report and the March U.S. jobs report will be released next week. March's ISM manufacturing PMI report will come out the following Monday, followed by March CPI and PPI data the week of April 8.

The dramatic fall in bond yields can be traced back to the Fed's incredibly dovish March meeting, says Win Thin, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman, because investors "need to see confidence emanating from policymakers to feel confident as well."

  • "Markets are left wondering 'what does the Fed know that we don't?' Thus, it all comes back to the data."

Go deeper: A new warning about the manufacturing labor shortage

Go deeper

Updated 15 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Politics: Ex-FDA chief: Pence campaigning after COVID exposure puts others at risk — Mark Meadows: "We are not going to control the pandemic"— COVID-19 looms over White House Halloween celebrations.
  2. Health: 13 states set single-day coronavirus case records last week — Fauci says maybe we should mandate masks if people don't wear themU.S. reports over 80,000 new cases for second consecutive day.
  3. World: Italy tightens restrictions Spain declares new state of emergency.

Amy Coney Barrett's immediate impact

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

In her first week on the job, Amy Coney Barrett may be deciding which votes to count in the presidential election. By her third week, she’ll be deciding the fate of the Affordable Care Act.

Where it stands: The Senate votes on Barrett’s nomination tomorrow. If she’s confirmed, Chief Justice John Roberts is expected to swear her in at the Supreme Court within hours, an administration official tells Axios.

Texas Democrats beg Biden to spend now

Photo: Ron Jenkins/Getty Images

The Biden campaign is rebuffing persistent pleas from Texas Democrats to spend at least $10 million in the Lone Star state, several people familiar with the talks tell Axios.

Why it matters: If Texas — which has 38 electoral votes and is steadily getting more blue, but hasn't backed a Democrat for president since 1976 — flipped to the Biden column, it would be game over. But the RealClearPolitics polling average stubbornly hovers at +2.6 for Trump — and Team Biden appears more focused on closer targets.