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The calving front of the Pine Island Glacier, seen by a NASA aircraft in 2016. Image: NASA IceBridge.

An iceberg about five times the size of Manhattan has broken off the Pine Island Glacier in West Antarctica over the past 24 hours, an ominous sign of the continued retreat of this fast-flowing mass of ice. Like many other marine terminating glaciers in Antarctica, this glacier is retreating over time, and increasing the movement of ice into the sea.

Why it matters: While this iceberg itself is not record-breaking — it ranks as the sixth-largest iceberg to break off the Pine Island Glacier since 2001 — it illustrates the continued instability of marine-terminating glaciers in parts of the icebound continent.

The details: The iceberg had first appeared as a rift across Pine Island Glacier in September, before leading to the calving of about 300 square kilometers, or 116 square miles, of ice. The largest individual iceberg measures about 226 square kilometers in area, or 87 square miles.

A tweet previously embedded here has been deleted or was tweeted from an account that has been suspended or deleted.

Stef Lhermitte, a geoscientist at the Netherlands' Delft University of Technology who closely tracks Antarctic ice, tweeted that the glacier front, where the ice meets the sea, has now receded by about 5 kilometers, or close to a mile inland compared to recent decades.

  • Ice shelves, such as the one at the Pine Island Glacier, act like door stops to the land-based ice behind it. Once they diminish, due to a combination of warming from the ocean below and air temperatures above, it's more likely that inland ice will collapse into the sea, raising global sea levels.

Determining the amount of future ice loss from Antarctica is the biggest source of uncertainty in sea level rise projections, but recent studies have suggested that Antarctic ice melt is likely to be at the higher end of the scale.

  • Recent research published in Nature Climate Change, found that "ice losses from Antarctica have accelerated during the past 25 years," and that 40% of the continent's sea level rise contribution has occurred during just the past 5 years.
  • Antarctica lost 1,883 billion tons of ice between 2007 and 2017, which was significantly higher than scientists estimated in a seminal report published in 2013.

The bottom line: The new iceberg is significant for reflecting trends taking place around Antarctica, which many climate scientists find worrisome.

Go deeper: West Antarctic ice melt poses unique threat to U.S., Antarctica has lost nearly 3 trillion tons of ice since 1992

Go deeper

FBI report likely to show record increase in murders in 2020

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

If the FBI data released next week shows what's expected — that 2020 saw the highest single-year spike in U.S. murders in at least six decades — experts say the sudden job losses, fears and other jolts to society at the start of COVID-19 will likely have been the overwhelming drivers.

Why it matters: Many Democrats already feared that rising crime could hurt their party in the 2022 midterms.

15 mins ago - Health

Some experts see signs of hope as COVID cases fall

Expand chart
Data: N.Y. Times; Chart: Kavya Beheraj/Axios

New coronavirus cases are continuing to decline, and some experts are cautiously optimistic that the virus will continue to wane even into the fall and winter.

The big picture: The next few months are highly uncertain, and some localized outbreaks are all but guaranteed. But the U.S. is at least moving in the right direction again.

Air quality alerts issued as California fires threaten more sequoias

The Windy Fire blazes through the Long Meadow Grove of giant sequoia trees near the Trail of 100 Giants in Sequoia National Forest, near California Hot Springs, on Tuesday. Photo: David McNew/Getty Images

Two wildfires were threatening California's sequoia trees over overnight — hours after authorities issued fresh evacuation orders and warnings, along with air quality alerts.

The big picture: Air quality alerts were issued Wednesday for the Bay Area and the San Joaquin Valley as smoke from the Windy and KNP Complex fires resulted in hazy, "ash-filled" skies from Fresno to Tulare, the Los Angeles Times notes.