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Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

A new poll from Harvard Kennedy School's Institute of Politics found 40% of millennials (18- to 29-year-olds) are likely to vote in the midterm elections on Nov. 6.

Why it matters: Millennials overwhelmingly lean Democrat, and many Democrats are hoping young voters will help build their "blue wave" on election night. The Harvard poll found among those millennials likely to vote, they prefer Democrats to control Congress by a 34-point margin (66% to 32%).

By the numbers: Midterm turnout among voters under 30 has only exceeded 20% in two elections since 1986, when it reached 21% that year and again in 1994.

  • Interest in voting among millennials has increased by three percentage points since Harvard's poll last spring.
  • While interest among millennials of both parties has increased since then, the share of Republican millennials who are likely to vote shot up by 7 percentage points since the spring, compared to a three-point spike for Dems.
  • President Trump's approval rating is 25% among likely millennial voters — 17 percentage points lower than his national average.

One more thing: A majority of millennials support the Democratic socialist agenda — 56% support a federal jobs guarantee with a $15 minimum wage; 56% support free tuition at public and community colleges; and 55% support Medicare for All.

Go deeper: At least 600 millennials are running for office in 2018.

Go deeper

Updated 3 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Health: Large coronavirus outbreaks leading to high death rates — Coronavirus cases are at an all-time high ahead of Election Day — U.S. tops 88,000 COVID-19 cases, setting new single-day record.
  2. Politics: States beg for Warp Speed billions.
  3. World: Taiwan reaches a record 200 days with no local coronavirus cases.
  4. 🎧Podcast: The vaccine race turns toward nationalism.

Technical glitch in Facebook's ad tools creates political firestorm

Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg. Photo: SOPA Images / Contributor

Facebook said late Thursday that a mix of "technical problems" and confusion among advertisers around its new political ad ban rules caused issues affecting ad campaigns of both parties.

Why it matters: A report out Thursday morning suggested the ad tools were causing campaign ads, even those that adhered to Facebook's new rules, to be paused. Very quickly, political campaigners began asserting the tech giant was enforcing policies in a way that was biased against their campaigns.

4 hours ago - Health

States beg for Warp Speed billions

A COVID-19 drive-thru testing center yesterday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. Photo: David Santiago/Miami Herald via AP

Operation Warp Speed has an Achilles' heel: States need billions to distribute vaccines — and many say they don't have the cash.

Why it matters: The first emergency use authorization could come as soon as next month, but vaccines require funding for workers, shipping and handling, and for reserving spaces for vaccination sites.