Nov 8, 2018

3. Democratic House candidates outperformed Clinton in the midterms

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Data: Associated Press, Daily Kos Elections; Chart: Chris Canipe/Axios

The voting patterns in Tuesday's House midterm elections shifted only slightly to the left of the 2016 election. But as this graphic shows, Democrats picked up 28 seats in districts that President Trump won in 2016 — and that's a big part of the reason they'll be in charge of the House next year.

How to read this chart: Democrats in the upper left won in districts that Trump carried in 2016; Republicans in the bottom right won in districts carried by Hillary Clinton. For races above the diagonal line, Democrats won by larger margins and Republicans won by smaller margins compared to the 2016 presidential vote. Candidates without challengers and those who won by margins greater than 50 points are excluded.

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The House Democrats supporting impeachment from districts Trump won

Photo: Samuel Corum/Getty Images

So far, 28 of the 31 moderate Democrats who represent districts that President Trump won in 2016 have announced they will back Trump's impeachment on Wednesday, despite fears that their votes could put their seats at risk in 2020.

The big picture: Democratic members and committee staffers told Axios' Alayna Treene they expect four to six moderate Democrats to break ranks and vote against the articles.

Go deeperArrowUpdated Dec 18, 2019

The highest drama comes home

Trump departs the White House for a “Merry Christmas” campaign rally in Battle Creek, Michigan. Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images

Here's a split screen for the ages: While House Democrats are impeaching President Trump, he'll be firing up supporters at an election rally in Michigan.

Why it matters: This is the perfect encapsulation of the impeachment process.

Go deeperArrowDec 18, 2019

Rep. Jeff Van Drew to vote against impeachment as a Democrat

Photo: Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images

Freshman New Jersey Rep. Jeff Van Drew told CNN's Manu Raju on Wednesday that he plans to vote against both articles of impeachment against President Trump as a Democrat.

Why it matters: A White House official told Axios' Jonathan Swan that Van Drew is expected to flip parties and become a Republican soon. Van Drew's statement ensures that House Democrats will have at least one defector Wednesday in the full House vote. But Democratic members and committee staffers have told Axios' Alayna Treene they expect four to six moderate Democrats to break ranks and vote against impeaching Trump.

Go deeper: The House Democrats supporting impeachment from districts Trump won

Keep ReadingArrowDec 18, 2019