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Wisconsin Sen. Tammy Baldwin. Photo: Justin Sullivan / Getty Images

Conservative groups have already spent approximately $3.1 million on attacks ads attack Wisconsin's Democratic senator Tammy Baldwin, per HuffPost. They've spent another $1.6 million boosting her Republican opponents.

Why it matters: There are 10 Democratic senators up for re-election this year in states that Trump won. But if conservative groups spending is any indication, Wisconsin might be the hardest seat for Democrats to keep — and that should have the party worried at every level because Sen. Baldwin is one of two Democrats serving statewide in Wisconsin.

Republican turnout in the election could be increased by Scott Walker, the state's Republican governor, who is also up for re-election this year too, which means his loyal base of Republican voters will likely be energized to show up on election day. And although it was short-lived, two of Baldwin's Republican opponents (Kevin Nicholson and Leah Vukmir) signed a "unity pledge" vowing to support one another and run campaigns "focused on defeating Sen. Tammy Baldwin."

One more thing: The amount of money conservative groups have spent on ads attacking Baldwin so far is "is more than what all the other Democratic Senate incumbents on the ballot this year have faced combined (under $550,000)," per HuffPost, which cites the Center for Responsive Politics.

Go deeper

3 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Trump to issue at least 100 pardons and commutations before leaving office

Photo: Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

President Trump plans to issue at least 100 pardons and commutations on his final full day in office Tuesday, sources familiar with the matter told Axios.

Why it matters: This is a continuation of the president's controversial December spree that saw full pardons granted to more than two dozen people — including former Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort, longtime associate Roger Stone and Charles Kushner, the father of Trump's senior adviser and son-in-law, Jared Kushner.

  • The pardons set to be issued before Trump exits the White House will be a mix of criminal justice ones and pardons for people connected to the president, the sources said.
  • CNN first reported this news.

Go deeper: Convicts turn to D.C. fixers for Trump pardons

Schumer's m(aj)ority checklist

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer. Photo: Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images

Capitalizing on the Georgia runoffs, achieving a 50-50 Senate and launching an impeachment trial are weighty to-dos for getting Joe Biden's administration up and running on Day One.

What to watch: A blend of ceremonies, hearings and legal timelines will come into play on Tuesday and Wednesday so Chuck Schumer can actually claim the Senate majority and propel the new president's agenda.

The dark new reality in Congress

National Guard troops keep watch at security fencing. Photo: Kent Nishimura/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

This is how bad things are for elected officials and others working in a post-insurrection Congress:

  • Rep. Norma Torres (D-Calif.) said she had a panic attack while grocery shopping back home.
  • Rep. Jim McGovern (D-Mass.) said police may also have to be at his constituent meetings.
  • Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.) told a podcaster he brought a gun to his office on Capitol Hill on Jan. 6 because he anticipated trouble with the proceedings that day.