Cassidy-Graham's potential trillion-dollar decision

The Cassidy-Graham bill sets up a terrible decision for conservatives down the line. Photo: Alex Brandon/AP

If the Cassidy-Graham health care bill becomes law, a future Congress is likely to have a horrible decision on its hands: somehow come to agreement on how to keep federal health care funding flowing to states, which potentially costs hundreds of billions of dollars; or let states lose all of the regulatory flexibility that led conservatives to support this bill in the first place.

The bottom line: "The message to Republicans is not to run for the Senate and be in the Senate in 2026, because you'll have a whole bunch of shitty votes to be taken," a senior GOP aide told me.