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Bridgewater Associates founder, president and CIO Ray Dalio. Photo: David A.Grogan/CNBC/NBCU Photo Bank/NBCUniversal via Getty Images

Bridgewater Associates bet more than $1 billion that either the S&P 500, the Euro Stoxx 50 or both will fail by March, the Wall Street Journal reports.

The big picture: The massive wager is one of a growing number of bearish trades as stock markets reach new highs and as some investors worry about a correction. It's also caused the price of some options to rise.

What to watch: March 2020 is well into the Democratic primaries. If Sen. Elizabeth Warren wins the Democratic nomination or the presidency, some financial predictions show markets will fall.

  • As Axios' Dan Primack has reported, Warren has put a bullseye on Wall Street, private equity and her overall fight against corporations.

Bridgewater declined to comment on its trades to WSJ: "We have no positions that are intended to either hedge or bet on any potential political developments in the U.S."

  • Its founder, Ray Dalio, tweeted later on Friday that the article is "wrong": "I want to make clear that we don’t have any such net bet that the stock market will fall."

Go deeper: Elizabeth Warren's frontrunner status is bad news for private equity

Editor's note: This article has been updated to include a tweet from Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio.

Go deeper

N.Y. Times faces culture clashes as business booms

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

New York Times columnist David Brooks' resignation from a paid gig at a think tank on Saturday is the latest in a flurry of scandals that America's biggest and most successful newspaper company has endured in the past year.

Driving the news: Brooks resigned from the Aspen Institute following a BuzzFeed News investigation that uncovered conflicts of interest between his reporting and money he accepted from corporate donors for a project called "Weave" that he worked on at the nonprofit.

America rebalances its post-Trump news diet

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

Nearly halfway through President Biden's first 100 days, data shows that Americans are learning to wean themselves off of news — and especially politics.

Why it matters: The departure of former President Trump's once-ubiquitous presence in the news cycle has reoriented the country's attention.

2021 sees a record number of bills targeting trans youth

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

Republicans in at least 25 states have introduced over 60 bills targeting transgender children — a legislative boom since January that has beaten 2020's total number of anti-trans bills.

Why it matters: LGBTQ advocates say the unprecedented push was catalyzed by backlash to Biden's election and the Supreme Court ruling that workers cannot be fired for being gay or transgender.