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Photos: Preston Ehrler/Echoes Wire/Barcroft Media; Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images

Joe Biden leads President Trump among registered voters by nine points (50% to 41%), even as most voters (86%) say they're aware of a 1993 sexual assault allegation by former Senate staffer Tara Reade, per a Monmouth University poll released Wednesday.

By the numbers: 37% of those surveyed said they believed that Reade's allegation against Biden was probably true, while 32% said it probably isn't true — though those feelings split largely along partisan lines.

  • 50% of Republicans believed the allegation is probably true, while 17% don't. Meanwhile, 55% of Democrats believe it's not true, while only 20% believe it probably is.
  • 32% of those who believe the allegation is probably true still back Biden, compared to 59% who support Trump.
  • Biden has firmly denied Reade's allegation, saying last week that it "never happened."

Why it matters: Biden's lead over Trump despite wide knowledge of the Reade allegation, plus his big net favorability among Democrats (+66), indicates that his position as the presumptive Democratic nominee remains solid.

  • It's also noteworthy that he retains a higher net favorability with women (+8) than men (-15) despite the allegation.

Methodology: The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from April 30 to May 4, with 808 adults in the U.S. The results in this release are based on 739 registered voters and have a +/- 3.6 percentage point sampling margin of error. 

Go deeper

Axios-SurveyMonkey poll: Doubts over fair election results

SurveyMonkey poll of 2,847 U.S. adults conducted Aug. 11–12, 2020 with ±3% margin of error; Chart: Naema Ahmed/Axios

One in four Americans is worried their ballot won't be accurately counted this year, and four in 10 worry mail-in voting could yield less reliable results, according to a new Axios-SurveyMonkey poll.

The big picture: Partisan identification is a massive driver of distrust in both categories — and the stakes are huge this year.

Aug 14, 2020 - Politics & Policy

Exclusive: Biden signals fall strategy with new COVID-19 ads

Photo: Olivier Douliery/AFP/Gety Images

Joe Biden's campaign is doubling down on its criticism of President Trump's mishandling of the coronavirus, launching two new 30-second ads today on the heels of Biden's own call for an outdoor mask mandate.

Why it matters: With Biden's running mate, Kamala Harris, now in place to amplify and augment the message, the campaign is signaling it will hit Trump on the pandemic every day until Nov. 3.

Biden and Harris start joint coronavirus briefings

Photo: Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

Sen. Kamala Harris joined Joe Biden on Thursday for a briefing on the coronavirus pandemic led by four doctors and one of Biden’s senior advisors — marking the new Democratic ticket's first official day of work.

The big picture: Biden said that he receives these briefings — “on the state of coronavirus here and around the world” — four times a week, and noted that they usually last between an hour and an hour and a half. It's not yet clear how many frequently Biden and Harris will be briefed.