Stories by Chris Canipe

The battle for the House will be fought among the college-educated

Notes: Chart excludes districts in Pennsylvania because the district boundaries were redrawn for 2018. Cook race ratings are as of Sept. 6, 2018; Data: 2016 American Community Survey, Cook Political Report and Daily Kos Elections; Chart: Chris Canipe/Axios

The House districts with the closest races in the midterm elections tend to be more educated than the rest of the country. Of the 30 districts currently rated as "tossups" by Cook Political Report, two thirds have a higher prevalence of college degrees than the national average.

Why it matters: It's yet another sign of potential midterm trouble for Republicans, since 28 of those races have a Republican incumbent and President Trump did best with people without college degrees. Strategists from both parties think it'll come down to how suburban voters react to Trump.

How the special elections could predict the midterms

Notes: Pennsylvania's Congressional districts were redrawn by the state's supreme court in March 2018. This map reflects the updated boundaries and adjusted PVI. Data: Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index, Ballotpedia; Map: Chris Canipe/Axios

Go deeper: Democrats outperformed in every special election this cycle

GOP candidates have a lot more cash in toss-up races

Republicans in 14 toss-up races are crushing Democrats on the money front.

Why it matters: You hear a lot about Democratic candidates out-raising their Republican challengers (which matters!), but available cash is important because that can keep up the pressure on opponents with organizing and ads into the final days of the election.

Note: Data includes only "toss-up" races where the party primary has already taken place; Data: Center for Responsive Politics and Cook Political Report; Chart: Chris Canipe/Axios