May 28, 2019

Argentina's markets are OK so far with Cristina Kirchner's VP bid

Former President of Argentina Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner will run for vice president. Photo: Eitan Abramovich/AFP/Getty Images

Investors have been flummoxed by the latest development out of Argentina, that former President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner will run for vice president rather than president, as most had expected.

What's happening: While investors worried aloud that a Kirchner presidential victory in October's election would cause the country's bonds to default, torpedo its stock market and further sink its depreciating currency (already worth about one-third of what it was just a few years ago), the curve ball of a Kirchner vice presidency has so far gotten market approval.

  • The country's sovereign bonds edged higher for much of the week, its Merval stock index rose 5% and its currency gained against the dollar.

What's next? The market's comfort with a return of Kirchnerismo will be tested again on Monday. A new poll from Argentina's Pagina 12 newspaper shows Kirchner and her running mate, Peronist Alberto Fernandez, are close to clinching victory in a first round vote.

  • The poll shows Kirchner and Fernandez leading current President Mauricio Macri, who has become very unpopular as a result of Argentina's economic "Macrisis," by close to 10 percentage points.
  • To avoid a second round, a candidate must receive at least 45% of the first round vote or 40% and win by a margin of at least 10 percentage points.

Go deeper: Populism's Latin American revival could reach Argentina

Go deeper

Trump to install loyalist Ric Grenell as acting intelligence chief

Photo: Sylvain Gaboury/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images

President Trump confirmed in a tweet Wednesday night that he will install Richard Grenell, the current U.S. ambassador to Germany and a staunch defender of the president, as the acting director of national intelligence.

Why it matters: The role, which was originally vacated by Dan Coats in August 2019, is one of grave responsibility. As acting DNI, Grenell will be charged with overseeing and integrating the U.S. intelligence community and will advise the president and the National Security Council on intelligence matters that concern national security.

Go deeperArrowUpdated 16 mins ago - Politics & Policy

What to watch in the Nevada debate

Photo Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios. Photos: Cengiz Yardages and Mario Tama/Getty Images

Michael Bloomberg's wealth will fuel rather than shield him from tests and attacks when he makes his Democratic primary debate debut on the stage tonight in Las Vegas.

The state of play: Bernie Sanders is still the front-runner. So the other candidates must weigh which of the two presents a bigger threat to their viability: Sanders, with his combined delegate, polling and grassroots momentum? Or Bloomberg, with his bottomless budget?

Go deeperArrowUpdated 22 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Axios Dashboard

Keep up with breaking news throughout the day — sign up for our alerts.