Protestors rallying against repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act in 2017. Photo: Albin Lohr-Jones/Pacific Press/LightRocket/Getty Images

Republican attorneys general and the Trump administration will make their case before the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals Tuesday for striking down the entire Affordable Care Act.

Why it matters: If all of this ends with the Affordable Care Act being struck down, it'll kick millions of people off their coverage, upend the health care system and force the political debate about health care back into 2010-level intensity.

  • That hasn't happened yet and it may not happen, but the 5th Circuit is the last stop before the Supreme Court, so buckle up.

What we're watching:

  • Severability: It wouldn't be too hard to throw out what remains of the ACA's individual mandate but leave the rest of the law intact. That outcome didn't seem to interest Judge Reed O'Connor, the lower-court judge who said last year the whole law had to go, but it could get a second chance today.
  • Congressional intent: Congress said in 2010 that the individual mandate was intertwined with the law's other coverage provisions, most notably its protections for people with pre-existing conditions. But it was also Congress that redesigned the law, keeping those protections in place but nullifying the mandate. Does the 111th Congress' intent override the 115th's?

Go deeper: Trump privately thinks ACA lawsuit will fail in court

Go deeper

Updated 45 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Politics: The swing states where the pandemic is raging. Ex-FDA chief: Pence campaigning after COVID exposure puts others at risk — Mark Meadows: "We are not going to control the pandemic"
  2. Health: 13 states set single-day coronavirus case records last week — U.S. reports over 80,000 new cases for second consecutive day.
  3. Education: The dangerous instability of school re-openings.
  4. World: Australian city to exit one of world's longest lockdowns — In photos: Coronavirus restrictions grow across Europe
  5. Media: Fox News president and several hosts advised to quarantine after possible COVID-19 exposure
  6. Nonprofit: Rockefeller Foundation commits $1 billion for COVID-19 recovery
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