Why you shouldn't invest like a billionaire
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Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios
A perennial pitch in the investment industry comes from firms that claim to give the middle class access to investment strategies hitherto available only to people of great wealth.
The catch: Investing like the ultra-rich is a terrible strategy for most people.
- Billionaires don't need to maximize their returns when they make investments — and they almost never need to sell anything. They're therefore terrible role models when it comes to most people's personal investment decisions.
The logic: The financial services companies pitching exotic solutions tend to implicitly or explicitly lean on a powerful argument.
- Ultra-high-net-worth individuals are growing their wealth more quickly than the middle class; they have access to investments unavailable to the middle class; therefore, the middle class would grow their wealth faster if they had access to those rarefied investment opportunities.
- That syllogism is a solecism.
Driving the news: Various billionaires, including Sean Combs, Bill Ackman, Larry Ellison, Jack Dorsey, and Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, were revealed last week to have helped fund Elon Musk's takeover of Twitter at the inflated price of $54.20 per share.
- British hedge fund billionaire Paul Marshall is reportedly bidding $131 million — some $1,400 per subscriber, or 72 times earnings — for a 150-year-old British political magazine.
- One billionaire scion, David Ellison, beat out another billionaire scion, Edgar Bronfman Jr., for the right to buy control of Paramount from a third billionaire scion, Shari Redstone.
Between the lines: In all of these examples, a trophy asset has personal value to the acquirer, on top of any financial value or price-appreciation potential. While it's possible those investments will end up outperforming a stock-market index fund, it seems highly unlikely.
- As Luma's Terry Kawaja told DealBook about the war for Paramount, "If you're the billionaire son of a billionaire, it's the ultimate asset."
- Or as Bloomberg Opinion's Matt Levine put it, having "some coherent, or entertainingly incoherent, story of what you're up to with your money" is clearly superior, to someone worth $25 billion, to a passive investment strategy that makes more money.
The big picture: One of the greatest luxuries that being very rich buys is being able to lose a lot of money and still live a billionaire's lifestyle.
- Wealth also confers the ability to blur investment and consumption — to invest money for nonfinancial reasons but to present that investment to the world as being a great investment all the same.
Follow the money: The real secret to billionaires' outperformance, whether the assets they're investing in are liquid or illiquid, is the endless number of wealth-management companies offering cheap liquidity whenever it's needed.
- Being able to borrow any amount you'll ever need means never having to sell at a loss or give up a promising investment because you need the money today.
- In that sense, billionaires can have their cake and eat it too: They can spend the money in their investment portfolios without having to liquidate those investments.
- Normal folks, by contrast, don't have access to a long list of lenders begging to advance capital against illiquid stakes in private companies.
The bottom line: Once you have more money than you'll ever be able to spend, investment is no longer delayed consumption; it is itself a form of consumption.
