The U.S. government's case against short seller Andrew Left
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Photo illustration: Gabriella Turrisi. Photo: Patrick T. Fallon/Bloomberg via Getty Images
Is it legal to lie on Twitter about what's in your stock portfolio? That's the question at the heart of both government cases against short seller Andrew Left.
Why it matters: The criminal and civil complaints filed against Left last week by the Department of Justice and the SEC allege that his false public statements misled investors.
Like all Americans, Left has broad First Amendment rights to say whatever he likes (true or not), but prosecutors assert that promulgating false information to profit from subsequent market moves is securities fraud.
The big picture: The complaints reveal a lot about how short sellers operate. They have to be adept traders, and can't just "set it and forget it" the way that a long-only investor like Warren Buffett might.
- Because shorts have to pay interest every day they're short, they're hyper-conscious of the time value of money — and have a strong incentive to minimize their holding periods.
State of play: Central to the cases against Left is the allegation that he and his fund, Citron Research, had much shorter holding periods in reality than his public statements led observers to believe.
- As a result, retail investors looking to mirror Citron's publicly stated positions might find themselves selling at precisely the same time that Citron was buying, covering its short position at a profit.
The intrigue: The government alleges that Left was well aware of his reputation, and the fact that the publication of his research could move the market. He therefore published research intending to profit upon exactly such a move.
- When the publication of the research report is accompanied by any kind of lies or half-truths that magnify the size of the move, the government sees that as market manipulation.
Reality check: The government doesn't reveal how many times Citron Research tweeted out its research and the stock didn't move, or moved against Left's position.
- As such, it's not clear whether prosecutors are cherry-picking incidents that make Left's Twitter account look more influential than it really was.
How it works: "When you're an activist short seller, your informational advantage over the street is around a half an hour," Left told Bloomberg last year, defending his short holding periods.
- The idea, per Left, is that he can put weeks of work into building a short thesis on a stock, but once he's published his thesis, he no longer knows anything the market doesn't, and therefore it makes sense to take profits (if any).
For the record: "Now that I see what the charges are, this is a really misguided prosecution," Left's lawyer, James W. Spertus, told Axios' Hope King.
- "There are more disputes about law than there are about facts," he said.
My thought bubble: Left stopped making his research public in 2021 after the government's probes into short sellers began — so the lawsuits look as though they're designed to dissuade other activist investors from adopting his playbook.
The bottom line: Short sellers like Left tend toward hyperbole, both in terms of what they say about companies and their convictions about the future trajectory of a stock.
- These lawsuits might help to moderate some of their more intemperate — or downright misleading — language.
