Data: Bloomberg NEF and the Business Council for Sustainable Energy; Map: Tory Lysik/Axios Visuals
Shutdowns of U.S. coal-fired power plants have outpaced expectations, as the energy sector slowly cleans up its act.
State of play: It's from the latest annual clean energy "factbook" out this week from BloombergNEF, and the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Zoom in: Based on plant owners' reports to the Energy Department stats arm, another 43 gigawatts of coal-fired capacity is slated to retire by 2030.
But historic trends suggest this is a big underestimate, the report notes.
"[F]or example, in 2018, EIA data suggested that from January 2018 to December 2023 only 37.7GW would retire, compared with the 81.5GW that did retire during that period."
Where it stands: Coal, once dominant, today provides about 15% of U.S. power.
The bottom line: Anticipating fossil fuel demand trajectories — in either direction — is hard.