Nov 14, 2019

Poll: Biden leads Trump by 12 points in head-to-head matchup

Former Vice President Joe Biden and President Trump. Photos: Olivier Douliery/Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images

New polling conducted by Fox News suggests former Vice President Joe Biden would beat President Trump by 12 points in the 2020 general election.

Why it matters: Democratic primary voters are looking to nominate a candidate who can beat Trump in 2020, and Biden may be that person. But we're still a year out from the general election.

The big picture: Biden’s Democratic voter support has remained unchanged compared to a Fox News poll conducted in March, while Sen. Elizabeth Warren's has increased by 17 points, Mayor Pete Buttigieg is up 6 and Sen. Bernie Sanders is down 4.

Highlights: The national poll, which surveyed 1,040 registered voters between Oct. 27-30, goes by popular vote, unlike state polls.

  • If put up against Trump, Sanders would win with an 8-point lead (49%-41%). Warren would win 46%-41%, within the poll's margin of sampling error.
  • Still, more than 25% of Democratic voters say they wish they had other options.

Methodology: The Fox News poll was under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company (R) with a margin of error plus or minus 3 percentage points for all registered voters and 4.5 points for Democratic primary voters.

Go deeper

Top 4 Democrats way ahead of 2020 rivals in 2 polls, but Warren slips

South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders at the Nov. 20 Democratic presidential debate in Atlanta. Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images

Two polls published Tuesday show a clear gap at the top of the Democratic presidential race, with only the four leading candidates achieving double digits. But Sen. Elizabeth Warren's numbers slipped in both.

By the numbers: Former Vice President Joe Biden has retaken the lead in the latest Quinnipiac University poll, with 24% of Democratic and independent voters who lean Democratic backing him. South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg jumped 6 points to snatch second place (16%). Warren's numbers fell 50% over the past month to receive 14% support. Sen. Bernie Sanders polled at 13%.

Go deeperArrowNov 27, 2019

Bernie Sanders surges in California primary poll

Bernie Sanders. Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) has surged in a new California poll at the expense of Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and former Vice President Joe Biden, according to a UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies survey published by the Los Angeles Times on Thursday.

The big picture: Warren's lead in September in the same poll dropped by 7 points to 22%, meaning she is statistically tied with — but nominally behind — Sanders, who sits at 24%. Biden also dipped by 6 points to 14%, with South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 12%.

Go deeperArrowDec 5, 2019

Buttigieg with 9-point lead in new Iowa poll

Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Presidential hopeful and South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg has soared to the top of the latest Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa Poll of 2020 Democratic candidates, released Saturday evening.

The big picture: He's the first choice for 25% of Democratic caucus-goers polled in the latest survey — with a 9-point lead over his closest rival, Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Buttigieg also topped a Monmouth University poll released Tuesday, where he's the favored candidate among 22% of those surveyed.

Go deeperArrowUpdated Nov 17, 2019