Feb 3, 2018

Exclusive poll: GOP turns on FBI

President Trump's hammering on the FBI — and green-lighting yesterday of the Russia memo's release over Bureau objections — is having a profound effect:

A SurveyMonkey poll for Axios finds that not even 40% of Republicans approve of America's main federal law enforcement agency — a stunning turn for the law-and-order party.

Data: SurveyMonkey poll conducted Feb. 1 to 2, 2018. Poll Methodology; Chart: Axios Visuals
Data: SurveyMonkey poll conducted Feb. 1 to 2, 2018. Poll Methodology; Chart: Axios Visuals

Why it matters: Trump, who earlier turned a huge swath of Republicans toward more favorable opinions of Russia, has now turned his party against his own FBI.

  • The numbers: FBI approval in the SurveyMonkey Poll, taken over the past two days, is 64% among Democrats and just 38% among Republicans. Unfavorable opinion of the FBI: 47% in the GOP; 14% among Ds.
  • As you see below, overall opinion of the FBI fell over the past year in the two polls we compared, likely driven entirely by falling approval from Rs.

Be smart: The stark new Republican skepticism of the FBI means that Trump has succeeded in preemptively undermining the findings of special counsel Bob Mueller.

  • Many Republicans will now see Mueller's report or recommendations as a political document, and the conservative media will portray it that way.
  • It's the great muddying we have been telling you about since December.
  • This is a massive swing from the initial bipartisan accolades for Mueller.
  • When the special counsel was named last May, Newt Gingrich tweeted: "Robert Mueller is superb choice to be special counsel. His reputation is impeccable for honesty and integrity. Media should now calm down."
Data: SurveyMonkey poll conducted Feb. 1 to 2, 2018. Poll Methodology. Pew Research Center poll conducted Jan. 5 to 8, 2017; Chart: Axios Visuals
Data: SurveyMonkey poll conducted Feb. 1 to 2, 2018. Poll Methodology. Pew Research Center poll conducted Jan. 5 to 8, 2017; Chart: Axios Visuals
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