President Trump. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

President Trump is facing serious headwinds with 100 days left until the election, according to an AP-NORC poll out Sunday.

By the numbers: 8 in 10 respondents said the country is heading in the wrong direction — more than at any other point during Trump's presidency.

  • Just 32% support Trump's handling of the coronavirus pandemic, also a new low in the AP-NORC tracker. 81% of Republicans still approve of Trump's job performance, but only 68% support his handling of the coronavirus.
  • 38% of Americans say the economy is good, down from 67% in January. Trump’s standing on the economy has also fallen in recent months.
  • Trump has a 38% job approval rating, within the range it has stayed for most of his presidency.

The bottom line: The last time a candidate sustained as big a national lead for as long as Joe Biden has over Trump was 24 years ago, when Bill Clinton romped past Bob Dole, according to the New York Times' Nate Cohn.

But as a reminder of how many twists we have ahead, consider Oct. 7, 2016 — one month before Election Day, Axios' Mike Allen points out.

  • On that single day, the "Access Hollywood" tape surfaced, WikiLeaks posted hacked Clinton campaign emails, and the Obama administration formally accused the Kremlin of hacking the Democratic National Committee.
  • FBI director Jim Comey's bombshell was three weeks away.

Worth noting: About third of Americans are entirely opposed to reopening schools in the fall, which the Trump administration has aggressively pushed for in recent weeks. Nearly half of respondents say it would require major adjustments.

Go deeper

Poll: U.S. satisfaction hovers near historic lows as economic ratings improve slightly

Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Confidence in the U.S. economy remains below its early 2020 levels, though signs of a market bounce-back have improved Americans' views on current economic conditions this past month, according to a Gallup survey out Thursday.

Why it matters: Americans' satisfaction with the state of the union is holding close to historic lows, even as sentiments surrounding the U.S. economy slightly improve based on bright spots in employment numbers and stock market rallies. That, combined with President Trump's job approval rating — which rests below 50% — is "problematic" for his re-election ambitions.

Cook Political Report moves Arizona from “toss up” to “lean Democrat” in presidential race

Photos: Sean Rayford/Getty Images; Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

The Cook Political Report on Thursday changed its forecast of Arizona in the presidential race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat," citing new polling data that shows the Sun Belt state slipping away from President Trump.

Why it matters: The rating in a crucial swing state doesn't bode well for President Trump's re-election chances. He won the state by more than 3 points in 2016.

Biden's hardline Russia reset

Photo Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios. Getty Images photos: Mark Reinstein

When he talks about Russia, Joe Biden has sounded like Ronald Reagan all summer, setting up a potential Day 1 confrontation with Russian President Vladimir Putin if Biden were to win.

Why it matters: Biden has promised a forceful response against Russia for both election interference and alleged bounty payments to target American troops in Afghanistan. But being tougher than President Trump could be the easy part. The risk is overdoing it and making diplomacy impossible.