Stories

Why we're decades away from predicting earthquakes

Illustration: Rebecca Zisser / Axios

Almost as long as scientists have been studying earthquakes, they've been trying to predict them. Despite over 150 years of seismology, most scientists agree that no earthquake has ever truly been predicted.

The bottom line: "We're no closer to earthquake prediction than we ever were, and are perhaps farther in that we now understand the difficulties better," says Robert Geller, a seismologist at the University of Tokyo.