November 12, 2024
Welcome back, Pros. Lawmakers are facing a packed to-do list for the lame-duck session, and we're tracking everything that matters for tech policy.
1 big thing: What to watch on tech in the lame duck
AI bill negotiations and other tech efforts on privacy and emerging tech are likely to be pared back during the lame duck as lawmakers shift their focus to the next Congress, Maria reports.
Why it matters: Lofty bipartisan ambitions to regulate AI, protect kids online or give all Americans internet privacy rights are all but dead as Washington prepares for sweeping changes post-election.
State of play: There are just 24 legislative days left in Congress this year.
- Republicans, having won the Senate and on track to win the House, don't have a strong incentive to strike deals with Democrats when they can just wait until they have control.
- Democrats' main priority is shaping out to be confirming as many Biden judicial nominees as possible.
- The only driving force for AI action is the must-pass defense policy bill as even appropriations could be kicked down the road through a continuing resolution.
What we're watching: Negotiations between the House and Senate on which AI measures to include in the NDAA are ongoing, a House GOP leadership aide said.
- Top contenders include the bills passed by the House Science Committee in September, such as the CREATE AI Act to authorize the National AI Research Resource.
- A host of China-related measures are also being considered, including a bill requiring the State Department to notify Congress ahead of any science and technology agreements with Beijing, for example.
- Legislation for export controls is also in play.
The House bipartisan AI working group's report is still on track to come out at the end of the year, Rep. Jay Obernolte's spokesperson Connor Chapinski said.
House Science Committee leadership is "extremely eager" to get the National Quantum Initiative Act reauthorized and the votes in the lower chamber are there to get it done, an industry source said.
- But there's a hold up in the Senate Commerce Committee, where industry has not seen any language that could be reconciled with the House's.
Kids online protections and comprehensive privacy face an uphill climb, given House leadership's push back and a tight calendar to reconcile with the Senate.
What we're hearing: "It's going to be a very unproductive lame duck," another industry source said, predicting a short-term continuing resolution to fund the government while Republicans wait until President-elect Trump takes office to do anything big.
2. Catch me up: Key House and Senate race results
We've had more calls in our key House and Senate tech races since our Thursday newsletter.
In the Senate, Sen. Jacky Rosen has won reelection in Nevada, defeating Republican challenger Sam Brown.
- Rosen, a former computer programmer, serves on the Commerce Committee. As a House member from 2017 to 2019, she was on the lower chamber's Science Committee.
- She pushed to break down barriers for STEM education in rural areas as part of CHIPS, and her Advancing American AI Innovation Act passed last Congress.
- Rosen led the effort to pass the Affordable Connectivity Program and helped write the broadband section of the bipartisan infrastructure law.
In the House, Rep. David Schweikert has won reelection in Arizona's 1st District, defeating Democrat Amish Shah.
- Schweikert says he has a "fascination with innovation and the further implementation of technology into different facets of many industries," introducing several bills to improve health care with AI.
We're still waiting on two AP calls for our key House tech policy races:
- California's 45th District: Michelle Steel (R) vs. Derek Tran (D)
- Iowa's 1st District: Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) vs. Christina Bohannan (D)
3. Hill hearing watch
Lawmakers are back in town, but there's just a couple of tech hearings on the calendar this week.
1. Copyright oversight: The Senate Judiciary IP subcommittee meets tomorrow at 2:30pm ET for a hearing on the U.S. Copyright Office.
- Director Shira Perlmutter testifies before lawmakers.
- Expect AI to feature, given the office's recommendation that Congress craft an unauthorized deepfakes law.
2. Patent bill markup: On Thursday at 10am ET, the full Senate Judiciary Committee holds an executive business meeting.
- Three bipartisan patent and innovation-related bills are on the agenda: the PREVAIL Act, the Patent Eligibility Restoration Act and the IDEA Act.
✅ Thank you for reading Axios Pro Policy, and thanks to editors Mackenzie Weinger and David Nather and copy editor Bryan McBournie.
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