McDonald's pays $1.8B to buy back Carlyle's China stake



Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
McDonald's paid $1.8 billion for Carlyle's minority stake in a group that operates the chain's business in mainland China, Hong Kong and Macau, per a source familiar with the deal
Why it matters: The deal comes as many PE and VC firms are pulling away from China, in part due to fears that they won't have exit avenues.
Details: McDonald's approached Carlyle with an unsolicited bid, as reported yesterday.
- The stake represents a 28% position, and the transaction gives a 6.7x multiple on invested capital (MOIC) for Carlyle.
- The business will continue to be majority-owned by CITIC Capital.
Between the lines: In this case, a fairly vanilla corporate carveout resulted in significant return on investment — even if it was about fries instead of chips.
What we're watching: Is this a prelude to McDonald's buying out CITIC's stake, or something equally momentus, such as an eventual IPO?
Our thought bubble: Despite all the hand wringing over U.S. and China relations, with this move McDonald's indicates it's not worried about that interfering with its expansion there.
Of note: Yum China's net revenue grew 9%, or 15% in constant currency, while same store sales increased 4% year over year in Q3, showing continued demand for American fast food in that market.
McDonald's did not immediately respond to a request for comment on whether it planned to stay pat following this transaction or if it could make additional moves.