Oct 14, 2018

Poll: Democrats lead Republicans ahead of midterm elections

Photo: Olivier Douliery - Pool/Getty Images

While President Trump's approval rating has increased to 41% from 36% since August, Democratic House candidates still lead Republicans 53%-42% among voters ahead of the midterms, according to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll.

The details: Per ABC, the Democratic lead in the polls is reflected further by a widening gender gap. Women are more in favor of Democratic candidates (59%) while men are narrowly split (46%-48%) seeing only a 2% difference. If that gap holds until Election Day, it would be "the widest on record for a midterm election in exit polls dating back to 1982," ABC reports.

  • Democrats' most important issue is health care. The poll reveals that 53% of the public trusts Democrats to handle health care over Republicans. But Democrats still don't have a singular policy on their "Medicare for All" message.
  • Republicans are trusted more to handle the economy (45%-41%) and taxes (45%-42%).

The big picture: ABC draws comparisons between this year's election and the 2006 election, where there was a 54%-41% Democrat to Republican favorability split among voters. In that election, the Democrats gained 31 seats, ABC reports; they need 23 this year.

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Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 3 a.m. ET: 786,291 — Total deaths: 37,820 — Total recoveries: 166,088.
  2. U.S.: Leads the world in confirmed cases. Total confirmed cases as of 3 a.m. ET: 164,620 — Total deaths: 3,170— Total recoveries: 5,943.
  3. Federal government latest: The White House will extend its social distancing guidelines until April 30.
  4. State updates: Rural-state governors say testing is still inadequate, contradicting Trump — Virginia, Maryland and D.C. issue stay-at-home orders to residents, joining 28 other states.
  5. Business latest: Ford and General Electric aim to make 50,000 ventilators in 100 days.
  6. In photos: Navy hospital ship arrives in Manhattan.
  7. What should I do? Answers about the virus from Axios expertsWhat to know about social distancingQ&A: Minimizing your coronavirus risk.
  8. Other resources: CDC on how to avoid the virus, what to do if you get it.

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World coronavirus updates: World Bank warns economic pain unavoidable

Data: The Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins, the CDC, and China's Health Ministry. Note: China numbers are for the mainland only and U.S. numbers include repatriated citizens and confirmed plus presumptive cases from the CDC

The novel coronavirus has caused a "global shock" and significant economic pain "seems unavoidable in all countries," the World Bank said in an economic update for
East Asia and the Pacific on Monday.

The big picture: COVID-19 cases surged past 786,000 and the death toll exceeded 37,800 early Tuesday, per Johns Hopkins data. Italy reported more than 11,500 total deaths.

Go deeperArrowUpdated 58 mins ago - Health

U.S. coronavirus updates: Death toll tops 3,000

Data: The Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins; Map: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

The U.S. death toll from the novel coronavirus has now surpassed 3,000, per Johns Hopkins data.

The state of play: The U.S. had by Monday night recorded more than 163,000 positive cases — more than any other country in the world, per Johns Hopkins. The COVID-19 death toll stood at 3,008. The number of recoveries had risen to more than 5,800.

Go deeperArrowUpdated 5 hours ago - Health