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Negotiators are set to miss today's deadline for a consensus on NAFTA. Four days after President Trump announced an "understanding" with Mexico, talks aimed at getting Canada on board have broken off and will resume next Wednesday.

Behind the scenes: Trump's off-the-record comments that he would not offer Canada any concessions, which leaked and were reported by the Toronto Star, added a dose of drama. U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer says Trump has notified Congress that he plans to move ahead with a bilateral deal with Mexico, while leaving open the possibility of Canada joining. Trade experts say the bilateral approach has virtually no chance of success. But by notifying Congress today Trump leaves open the possibility of signing an agreement before a new leftist government takes office in Mexico.

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Media prepares to fact check debates in real time

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

From live blogs to video chyrons and tweets, media companies are introducing new ways to fact check the presidential debates in real time this year.

Between the lines: The debates themselves are likely to leave less room for live fact-checking from moderators than a traditional news interview would.

Life after Roe v. Wade

The future seems clear to both parties: The Supreme Court will overturn Roe v. Wade in the next few years, either gradually or in one fell swoop, and the abortion wars will move to a state-by-state battle over freedom and restrictions. 

What's new: Two of the leading activists on opposite sides of the abortion debate outlined for “Axios on HBO” the next frontiers in a post-Roe v. Wade world as the balance on the Supreme Court prepares to shift.

Dion Rabouin, author of Markets
2 hours ago - Economy & Business

Jerome Powell, Trump's re-election MVP

Photo illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios. Getty Images photos: Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP and Lev Radin/Pacific Press/LightRocket

President Trump trails Joe Biden in most polls, has generally lower approval ratings and is behind in trust on most issues. Yet polls consistently give him an edge on the economy, which remains a top priority among voters.

Why it matters: If Trump wins re-election, it will largely be because Americans see him as the force rallying a still-strong U.S. economy, a narrative girded by skyrocketing stock prices and consistently climbing U.S. home values — but the man behind booming U.S. asset prices is really Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell.