Axios Future of Energy

October 22, 2025
🐪 Wednesday. We're getting over the hump with a quick 1,247 words, 4.5 minutes.
🚨 Situational awareness: Energy Secretary Chris Wright and his Qatari counterpart are pressing EU leaders to weaken or kill a major corporate sustainability law.
- Why it matters: Both nations are major LNG exporters to the EU as it moves away from Russian gas. Their new letter warns of "unintended consequences" on supplies.
📻 Exactly three years ago, Steve Lacy was No. 1 on Billboard's Hot 100 with a catchy slice of songcraft that's today's intro tune...
1 big thing: Energy-price politics get really interesting


The White House and GOP officials are on a PR offensive to tout gasoline prices that — depending on how you slice the data — are at their lowest since either May 2021 or last December. (It's basically a tie for the moment.)
Why it matters: Average prices are hovering around $3 per gallon or have already dipped below that. It adds intrigue to a huge question: Who gains politically when pump prices fall but power bills rise?
The big picture: Costs to fill up gasoline tanks vs. keeping the lights and heat on at home are moving in generally opposite directions, which makes energy prices even more of a midterm political wild card if trends hold.
- More immediately, power bills are front and center in New Jersey's close governor's election Nov. 4.
- They've also become important in the Virginia governor's race.
What we're watching: GasBuddy reports that "barring any major disruptions, gas prices are likely to remain slightly below year-ago levels and could stay under $3 for much of the next few months."
- "Promises made, promises kept," the White House said in an X post boasting about the gas figures.
The intrigue: Democrats are putting heavy focus on electricity prices that are pinching wallets — and alleging that the new GOP budget law will exacerbate the problem by making it harder to add renewables to the grid.
Driving the news: Electricity costs are on a steadily upward climb that well outpaces inflation.
- One recent sign: the Energy Department's independent stats arm sees residential electricity costs averaging 4.8% more this winter than the 2024-2025 cold season.
Yes, but: Gasoline prices are typically a bigger share of household budgets than power, though the difference varies by region.
- A recent study by the nonprofit Electric Power Research Institute found that last year, the average U.S. household paid $1,850 for electricity and $2,930 for gasoline.
The bottom line: The White House is taking a victory lap on pump prices. But politically, it's a much longer race.
2. 🚘 Uber's electric rebrand — and driver EV aid
Uber plans to provide grants to drivers in key markets to switch to electric vehicles, and is rebranding its Uber Green option to Uber Electric.
Why it matters: The move follows recent expiration of the federal EV tax credit, which was worth up to $7,500 for new EVs and up to $4,000 for used ones.
Driving the news: Uber will provide $4,000 "Go Electric" grants to high-mileage, tenured drivers in markets with high demand — New York City, California, Colorado and Massachusetts — to purchase new or used EVs.
- Uber drivers in all states can get a $1,000 discount on a new or used EV through TrueCar.
Driving the news: The announcement was paired with the news of the Uber Electric rebranding, which the service says will make it "easier for riders to choose zero-emissions rides."
- Uber Green previously included hybrids, but the company switched it to only pure EVs earlier this year.
- In the U.S., Europe and Canada, 1 in 10 Uber miles are currently driven in EVs, per the company.
3. 🏃 Catch up quick on policy: Oil, mining, solar
🛢️ The Energy Department is looking to buy another one million barrels for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, using low prices to add to the stockpile.
- The big picture: The SPR currently holds around 409 million barrels, which is roughly 300 million below its capacity.
- Friction point: DOE head Chris Wright, in a statement, accused the Biden White House of "recklessly" draining the reserve for political reasons, referring to large releases after Russia invaded Ukraine and prices soared.
⛏️ Perpetua Resources said it has broken ground on "early works construction" for the long-planned Stibnite Gold Project in Idaho.
- Why it matters: The project will provide supplies of antimony. It has key defense and commercial applications — including batteries — as U.S. policymakers look to boost critical minerals.
- Catch up quick: The Biden administration backed the project, but some environmental groups look to thwart it. Stibnite recently received final approvals from the U.S. Forest Service to start construction.
- State of play: "As America's answer to China's antimony export bans, we are focused on swiftly and safely bringing our antimony and gold project into development," Perpetua CEO Jon Cherry said in a statement.
🛢️ The Interior Department is moving closer to selling drilling leases in the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska for the first time since 2019. Go deeper.
☀️ Abigail Ross Hopper, president and CEO of the Solar Energy Industries Association, will depart early next year after a nine-year run.
- Why it matters: She was at the helm during a massive solar boom, but more recently, a seismic change under GOP policies that phase out incentives and add new restrictions.
4. 💻 On my screen: Critical minerals and that '70s show
🐨 CSIS analysts have an informative primer on the major new U.S.-Australia plan to boost cooperation and bilateral investment in critical minerals and rare earth projects.
- Why it matters: The deal is expansive and pretty specific, which is interesting because these kinds of cooperation agreements are often airy, PR-y and aspirational.
- What we're watching: The primer gets into one aspect that has gotten less press — the joint efforts to limit China's acquisition of more mining assets abroad.
- The bottom line: "This comes at a critical moment: Even as China slows domestic production and idles projects, its overseas mining acquisitions reached their highest level in a decade in 2024," they write.
⚔️ "With more countries threatening to make coercive use of more different kinds of energy flows, the world could be at the dawn of a new age of energy weaponization," energy scholars Meghan O'Sullivan and Jason Bordoff write in Foreign Affairs.
- The big picture: You don't have to look far for examples — like the U.S. demanding that countries buy its fossil fuels to avoid tariffs, Russia threatening Europe's gas, or China weaponizing its critical minerals dominance. The landscape is really fraught — more than any time since the '70s oil embargo era.
- What we're watching: Countries have tools to ease risk, they write. Low-carbon transition and electrification help, though they're not a panacea, given the fragility of cross-border power flows and supply chains.
5. ⛔ Clean tech project cancellations are piling up
Four more U.S. clean energy manufacturing projects with an investment value of $1.6 billion were canceled in September, spanning solar, grid and EV tech, per the nonprofit group E2.
Why it matters: It's the latest in a growing wave of projects scuttled, closed or downsized amid waning federal support.
- The total value of abandoned or downsized projects this year is over $24 billion, costing over 21,000 previously announced jobs, the group affiliated with the Natural Resources Defense Council finds.
- Full analysis
6. ⚡ Number of the day: $5.3 billion
That's what GE Vernova is paying for the remaining stake in the Prolec GE joint venture, a supplier of power transformers.
- Why it matters: Buying out the partnership GE had for decades with Xignux is a testament to opportunities it sees in AI power demand and other needs for grid upgrades.
- Investor deck...Bloomberg coverage
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🙏 Thanks to Chuck McCutcheon and Chris Speckhard for edits to today's edition, along with the brilliant Axios Visuals team.
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