Axios Closer

November 14, 2025
Friday ✅.
Today's newsletter is 770 words, a 3-minute read.
🚨 Breaking: President Trump just issued an executive order dropping reciprocal tariffs on dozens of food items.
📉 The dashboard: The S&P 500 closed down 0.1% in a volatile session. (See below.👇)
🔥 Today's stock spotlight: Warner Bros. Discovery (+4%) is reportedly expected to receive first-round bids from Paramount, Comcast and Netflix.
1 big thing: Big swings
Exuberance and caution are clashing across markets — whipsawing stocks, sinking crypto and sending risk-on/risk-off traders into and out of gold.
The big picture: An increasingly pricey AI trade has proven too tempting for investors to quit, but volatility is expected to remain in the coming weeks as markets brace for a key Fed rate decision and earnings from AI's biggest player.
The latest: The tech-heavy Nasdaq index was down 1.9% this morning before reversing to a small gain. That followed a sell-off Thursday, with indexes suffering their largest declines in a month.
- The VIX index measuring stock volatility — known as Wall Street's fear gauge — is up roughly 15% since Wednesday.
- Bitcoin is down nearly 3.8% over the past 24 hours. The cryptocurrency entered November trading above $110,000 — it's now below $95,000, a slide of more than 13%.
- Gold slid 2.8% today to $4,074 an ounce.


What they're saying: "We're kind of switching back and forth between this risk-on [and] risk-off type of a trade," said Brian Mulberry, a client portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management, per CNBC.
What we're watching: Chip giant Nvidia is scheduled to report earnings Wednesday. Analysts are framing it as a crucial test to support the sky-high valuations propping up the AI trade.
- The Fed's next rate decision is coming Dec. 10. A month ago, market expectations indicated a 94% chance that there'd be another quarter-point cut. That's fallen to 46% today following multiple signals from Fed officials that it's no sure thing.
2. Walmart's succession
Walmart CEO Doug McMillon is retiring at the end of January, ending a 12-year tenure leading the nation's largest retailer, Axios' Mike Allen and Ben Berkowitz write.
- He'll be succeeded by John Furner, CEO of Walmart U.S. — a company lifer who started as an hourly associate in 1993.
- Furner previously served as CEO of Sam's Club and head of marketing for Walmart China. He's also a past chair of the National Retail Federation.
📈 By the numbers: Since McMillon took over as CEO in February 2014, Walmart stock has quadrupled, doubling the performance of the retail sector's main players over that time.
The big picture: Furner takes over the retail giant at a crucial moment, with tariffs weighing on the economy and growing pressure from both consumers and the government over affordability.
- The company's also in the early stages of an AI transformation that McMillon has said will eventually change some aspect of every one of Walmart's 2 million-plus jobs.
What we're watching: Walmart reports earnings next week, and analysts are sure to press for clues about Furner's plans.
3. Other happenings
💊 A federal bankruptcy judge approved a $7.4 billion bankruptcy settlement for OxyContin maker Purdue Pharma that will end years of litigation over the company's role in the opioid epidemic. (Axios)
📈 Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a new position in Google-parent Alphabet — it's the conglomerate's 10th largest equity holding as of the end of September. (CNBC)
🇨🇭The Trump administration said it reached a trade agreement with Switzerland, with the European nation confirming a lower tariff of 15%. (Axios)
4. ⛳️ Private equity takes swing at Topgolf
Topgolf Callaway Brands is reportedly in talks to sell its Topgolf business to private equity firm Leonard Green, WSJ reports.
- 📉 The business — think mini-golf meets a driving range and then meets a Dave & Busters — is being valued at about $1 billion, people familiar with the matter tell the publication.
Zoom out: Callaway's deal to acquire Topgolf in 2021 valued the business at $2 billion. Golf was flying high after the pandemic, and Topgolf seemed well-positioned to usher in a big new base of customers.
- Things haven't worked out as imagined though — people haven't seemed too willing to shell out the high prices that Topgolf demands.
Flashback: Callaway, which makes golf equipment, said last summer that it planned to spin off the unit.
🗓️ On this day in 1832, the New York and Harlem Railroad company ran the world's first streetcar through lower Manhattan. The cars rolled along embedded iron rails and were pulled by horses — with a few short-lived stints of steam and battery power — before the line finally went electric in 1897. The expanded line is now part of the Metro-North Railroad system.
Today's newsletter was compiled and edited by Pete Gannon and copy edited by Sheryl Miller.
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