Axios Closer

January 09, 2025
🇺🇸 U.S. stock markets were closed today in observance of the National Day of Mourning for former President Jimmy Carter.
Today's newsletter is 602 words, a 2-minute read.
🔔 The dashboard: 10-year Treasury yields, an increasing concern for stock investors, eased slightly to 4.69%.
1 big thing: California's property insurance problem
The fires devastating Los Angeles will translate into massive insurance damages that will bludgeon an already hobbled California property insurance market.
The latest: Insurance loss estimates stemming from the blazes range from $6 billion to $20 billion, according to Reinsurance News and JPMorgan.
The big picture: The fragile structure of California's insurance market means all insured homeowners in the Golden State may end up subsidizing the losses of those impacted by the fires.
- The state's insurer of last resort, California FAIR Plan, has swelled to roughly $430 billion of exposure, potentially far outpacing the financial resources it may have to cover widespread claims.
Threat level: The plan's president reportedly warned state legislators last March it was "one event" away from having to place an assessment on private insurers, as allowed by law, to recoup its losses.
Private insurers had already begun to pull out of the California fire market.
- Farmers Insurance has the most exposure with 6.9% of the state's commercial fire market, while Berkshire Hathaway is second at 6.6% and Travelers is third at 6.3%, according to trade publication Business Insurance.
Zoom out: California's fate may resemble the flood insurance market in Florida, where the state has become the insurer of last resort for a mounting number of parcels.
Go deeper: At least five deaths have been confirmed so far, with the number of structures destroyed or damaged by the fires believed to be "in the thousands." (Axios coverage)
2. Uninsurable America is growing


The U.S. saw 28 weather and climate disasters costing at least $1 billion in 2023 — the highest on record, Axios' Erica Pandey reports. Damages totaled $93 billion.
- 2024 disaster data is not yet out, though it's expected to follow the trend.
3. JCPenney catches a Sparc
JCPenney and retail store operator Sparc are merging to form a U.S. retailing behemoth called Catalyst Brands.
Why it matters: The new company's owners comprise a consortium of some of the biggest names in retail, overseeing approximately 1,800 stores.
Zoom in: Catalyst was formed via an all-equity transaction between the department store chain JCPenney and Sparc Group's shareholders Simon Property Group, Brookfield Corporation, Authentic Brands Group and Shein.
- Catalyst, which will be led by JCPenney CEO Marc Rosen, will operate JCPenny's 650-plus locations as well as the U.S. stores for Aéropostale, Brooks Brothers, Eddie Bauer, Forever 21, Lucky Brand and Nautica.
- It will also include the private brands Stafford, Arizona and Liz Claiborne.
By the numbers: The company will have more than $9 billion of revenue and $1 billion of liquidity.
If you need smart, quick intel on retail dealmaking, get Axios Pro.
4. Thursday catch-up
💰 Wall Street bonuses for traders and dealmakers are expected to jump by double digits at the largest investment banks. The raises follow a two-year lull for the industry's bonus season. (Bloomberg)
🌍 BlackRock told clients today it has decided to leave the Net-Zero Asset Managers initiative, saying membership in the climate-investor group "caused confusion regarding BlackRock's practices and subjected us to legal inquiries from various public officials." (Bloomberg)
🤑 Amazon will allow retailers to use its ad technology on their own websites. Retailers will pay fees based on usage. (CNBC)
🤳 Billionaire Frank McCourt's Project Liberty fund and partners are planning a bid for TikTok's U.S. assets. The deadline to get a deal done is 10 days away before a potential ban takes effect. (Reuters)
🏬 Macy's is closing 66 stores as part of its "A Bold New Chapter" plan with liquidation sales set to start in January, the retailer confirmed to Axios today. Last February it said it planned to shutter 150 stores by the end of 2026 — about a third of its locations.
Today's newsletter was edited by Pete Gannon and copy edited by Sheryl Miller.
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